The top of the Central Division has been among the league’s toughest gauntlets over the past few seasons, and there’s little reason to expect that to change this year. There could be some new faces atop the list, however.
The Stars line up for this season with much of the same forward group that’s taken them to back-to-back Western Conference Finals. Yes, veteran top-line fixture Joe Pavelski announced his retirement, but his role alongside Roope Hintz and Jason Robertson is set to be filled by 21-year-old Wyatt Johnston, who’s coming off a 32-goal, 65-point sophomore season. 2024 AHL MVP Mavrik Bourque is projected to replace Johnston’s vacant middle-six spot, so there are no worries there.
Some will raise their eyebrows at Dallas’ defensive depth after losing Jani Hakanpää, Ryan Suter, and Chris Tanev, though. And rightfully so – their right defense depth chart is now headed off by free-agent signings Mathew Dumba and Ilya Lyubushkin, both of whom are likely safe bets for bottom-pairing roles on a lot of other contending teams. They’re hoping a three-headed monster of Miro Heiskanen, Thomas Harley, and Esa Lindell on the left side is enough to keep them atop the Central Division’s regular season pecking order.
The Jets were a solid possession team last year, but make no mistake – the franchise’s second-ever 110-point season can be attributed almost entirely to goaltender Connor Hellebuyck, who posted a .921 SV% in 60 games en route to his second Vezina Trophy win. Aside from losing mid-season pickup Sean Monahan to the Blue Jackets in free agency, their forward corps remains identical and will likely finish near the middle of the pack again after finishing 15th in goals last season.
Like Dallas, defensive depth is where Winnipeg’s alarm bells begin to sound. They managed to keep Dylan DeMelo off the free agent market, signing him to a four-year, $19.6MM extension to keep one of the league’s better top pairings last season with Josh Morrissey intact. However, they bought out Nate Schmidt, who, while overpaid, was one of their best even-strength possession players last year. Losing top-four fixture Brenden Dillon on the open market also stings and leaves a struggling Neal Pionk, arguably the Jets’ worst defensive player last season, with more responsibility than they’d like.
The Avalanche will again begin the season with a notable list of absences. Captain Gabriel Landeskog won’t be in the opening night lineup for the third season in a row as he continues to recover from multiple knee surgeries, but unlike in the past two years, they’re expecting him back at some point. That’ll be a huge boon to an offense that still managed to lead the league in goals last season despite pre-deadline depth concerns, as will be the return of Valeri Nichushkin from a six-month suspension and stint in the NHL/NHLPA Player Assistance Program in November. Their wing depth looks dicey to start, but last year’s acquisition of Casey Mittelstadt at the deadline gives them the best center depth they’ve had since winning it all in 2022.
Their defense is also improved with a new-look third-pairing of low-cost free agent pickups Erik Brännström and Oliver Kylington, both of whom should thrive in an up-tempo Colorado system. Goaltending remains a concern, with Alexandar Georgiev coming off a subpar season, but backup Justus Annunen is pushing for more responsibility after logging a spectacular .928 SV% in 14 games. All indications point to the Avs replicating last year’s 107-point performance, if not improving on it.
The Predators’ offseason needs no introduction. They enter 2024-25 with their most star-studded forward corps since the mid-2000s (remember Peter Forsberg and Paul Kariya’s days in Tennessee?) after adding 2023 Conn Smythe winner Jonathan Marchessault and future Hall of Famer Steven Stamkos to their ranks. They’ll give much-needed depth to an offense that miraculously managed to finish 10th in scoring last season thanks to resurgences from Ryan O’Reilly and Gustav Nyquist, the latter of whom erupted for a career-high 75 points at age 34 in top-line minutes.
Their defense lost Ryan McDonagh after he was traded to the Lightning but gained one of the better left-shot options on the UFA market in Brady Skjei. With those moves largely canceling each other out and Juuse Saros still manning the pipes, Nashville’s team defense should still finish above average but doesn’t look like it’ll be among the league’s best, with players like Jeremy Lauzon and Luke Schenn still projected to be a bit over-taxed. Still, there’s an opening for them to climb back into a divisional playoff spot and potentially win their first Central title since 2019.
For last year’s playoff misses in the Central, this season’s aspirations are conservative. That’s especially true for the Blues, who missed out on a playoff spot by six points and proceeded to have one of the league’s most eventful offseasons. Their offer sheets of Philip Broberg and Dylan Holloway completed a summer that saw St. Louis have some of the largest roster turnover league-wide. Their bottom six has more new faces than returnees – only prospect Zach Dean and Alexey Toropchenko were on the team’s roster last season among their current projected opening-night third and fourth lines. They’re hoping some more offensively-inclined talent like Holloway, Mathieu Joseph, and Alexandre Texier can add a little bit of juice to last year’s 24th-ranked offense.
Their defense will feature Broberg starring in the role of veteran Torey Krug, who’ll miss the entire season after undergoing left ankle surgery. If they have any hope of closing the gap for a postseason berth, they’ll also need more of the same from Jordan Binnington between the pipes. His .913 SV% in 55 showings last year was his best since guiding the Blues to a Cup in his rookie season in 2019.
The Wild’s biggest offseason addition comes from inside the house. Captain Jared Spurgeon’s presence on the blue line will be their biggest X factor after back and hip surgeries ended his 2023-24 season in January. The rest of the roster is mostly familiar faces, but they are projected to carry three goalies, with top netminding prospect Jesper Wallstedt showing he’s ready for full-time NHL minutes. He could churn out numbers that exceed those of Marc-André Fleury and Filip Gustavsson, who are back for a third season in Minnesota as a tandem after struggling to a combined .897 SV% last year.
Then there’s perhaps the conference’s biggest dark horse in its new garb – the Utah Hockey Club. The continuation of the defunct Arizona Coyotes franchise picked up right where they left off at the end of the dark days of their rebuild. With greater financial resources, general manager Bill Armstrong showed extreme confidence that Utah is ready to contend for a postseason spot, reshaping their blue line by acquiring John Marino and Mikhail Sergachev in a pair of trades around the draft. A full season of emerging youngsters Josh Doan and Dylan Guenther, the latter of whom scored at a 64-point pace in last season’s 45-game call-up, will help boost a promising offense squarely into the league’s upper half. But whether the pickup of Marino and Sergachev (who’s not necessarily known for his stay-at-home presence) can help get the league’s eighth-worst defense up where it needs to be for playoff contention remains to be seen.
The Blackhawks, meanwhile, are just looking to be relevant once again. After four straight seasons below 70 points, that demarcation is likely the goal for Chicago, with Connor Bedard beginning his sophomore season. They have a decent shot at doing so after being one of the league’s bigger players in free agency, reshaping their top-six forward group with the pickups of Tyler Bertuzzi and Teuvo Teräväinen. The additions of veterans T.J. Brodie and Alec Martinez on defense won’t likely have a ton of impact on their record but should give their younger defenders more runway for growth, and they shored up their goaltending by adding one of the league’s premier backups in Laurent Brossoit.
So, we ask you, PHR readers: after an offseason of significant changes, who do you think is best primed to take home the Central Division title? Tell us by voting in the poll below:
I was going to vote Dallas but they did lose more talent than they gained this offseason and Nashville did sign 2 of the better forwards on the market and a solid defenseman, i feel like theyre the sleeper here who was missing those couple pieces last year
How long are Landeskog and Nikushkin out for?
Without them, the Avs roster actually looks pretty mediocre outside the top PP guys.
No definitive date on Landy.
Nichushkin is a bit up in the air as well. I think he’s scheduled to be eligible again sometime in November, but if he can’t keep it together… it could be short lived or potentially never seen in the league again.
Don’t forget lehkonen is going to miss the start of the season as well.
Yeah, if they get all 3 back…top Cup contenders. If not…not as much.
Per @rboulding on Nichushkin there is no solid timeline on his return.
After many years of Preds pessimism (well earned), the time has come for Central Division dominion!
I don’t know about that. Sure stammer and marchessault are good players, but both are aging. That squad is really going to have to show me some sustained play before I can even thunk about giving them my vote.
It’s a 2 man race between Dallas and Colorado until further notice
Preds have quite a few prospects who, at the least, will provide quality depth options to go along with their top two lines. Goaltending is solid, bottom D pairing is my only slight concern. They’ll be right there with the Stars and Avs.
I voted for Winnipeg.
Mostly because that’s my team.