Summer Synopsis: Carolina Hurricanes

The Carolina Hurricanes have been the envy of many NHL teams for the past half-decade, building out a sustainable lineup that nicely blended veteran pieces with up-and-coming prospects. Despite the seemingly endless supply of talent, Carolina has never been able to put it all together and go a run to the Stanley Cup Finals. Their regular season success over the past 5+ years is nearly unmatched, but the playoff losses have started to lead fans to wonder if this core can be the one that brings the franchise its second Stanley Cup. Carolina saw a lot of turnover this summer and it could lead the team to take a step back next season.

Draft

2-34: D Dominik Badinka, Malmo (SHL)
2-50: F Nikita Artamonov, Torpedo (KHL)
3-69: D Noel Fransen, Färjestad BK (SHL)
4-124: D Alexander Siryatsky, Stalnye Lisy Magnitogorsk (MHL)
5-133: F Oskar Vuollet, Skellefteå AIK (SHL)
5-156: F Justin Poirier, Baie-Comeau (QMJHL)
6-168: D Timur Kol, Avangard Omsk (KHL)
6-184: D Roman Shokhrin, Loko-76 Yaroslavl (MHL)
6-188: F Fyodor Avramov, Kapitan Stupino (MHL)
7-220: F Andrey Krutov, Chaika Nizhny Novgorod (MHL)

A hectic summer wasn’t enough to knock Carolina off the course of what they do best – win out draft classes. The Hurricanes traded their first-round pick to the Chicago Blackhawks for a pair of picks in the first round – ultimately resulting in swapping Marek Vanacker for Dominik Badinka and Nikita Artamonov. That value swap would be considered a steal by many public scouting services, who were particularly fond of the feisty and aggressive offensive style that Badinka brings from the blue line. He earned first-round recognition from multiple outlets, including ranking 29^th in Bob McKenzie’s acclaimed final rankings. Artamonov earned similar recognition with very mature and flexible hockey in Russia’s KHL, though his stock slipped over the year as he – and many other top Russian prospects – hit a scoring lull through the middle of the season. Nevertheless, the pair define Carolina’s draft-day haul with success in their country’s top flight.

But the supporting cast around Badinka and Artamonov can’t be counted out. Defender Noel Fransen also worked his way into an SHL lineup this season, with his 20 goals and 44 points in 45 U20 games resulting in four games with Farjestad. He was quiet in those outings but made up for it with strong international performances, ultimately flaunting a strong ability to both initiate and defend the rush through the neutral zone. He’ll need to reign in his aggressive pushes up the ice and find an appreciation for defensive positioning to succeed at the next flight, though Fransen’s upside as a puck-mover would fit well in Carolina’s fast-paced system.

The style matches continue with high-drive forwards Oskar Vuollet and Justin Poirier, who both emerged as their team’s leading forward over the season, though to largely varied results. Vuollet was, narrowly, the higher pick of the two – likely thanks to his heftier build and 15 SHL games this season. But it’s Poirier who carved out the longer season, championing Baie-Comeau to the QMJHL Championship with 18 goals and 27 points in 17 playoff games. It was an impressive run that showed Poirier’s dazzling ability to create plays out of the corners and find space on the outskirts of the slot. His style is reminiscent of former NHL journeyman Steve Sullivan, who carried plenty of power, drive, and play-creating ability in a small frame – and fought his way to a 1,000-game career despite being a ninth-round draft pick. Those are certainly lofty expectations for Poirier – whose physicality is yet to be tested at the top level. If he adjusts well, he could find a niche similar to Sullivan’s. If he can’t, Carolina will fall back on the responsible forechecking and hard-passing of Vuollet, which also looks like it could translate well to North American pros.

Carolina rounded out their draft class with a heap of Russian talent – headlined by a well-rounded defense, including Alexander Siryatsky’s large frame, Roman Shokhrin’s hard-hitting, and Timur Kol’s confident stickhandling from the blue line. All three players have pitfalls ahead of them, but could each use their defining strength to claw up Carolina’s depth chart. They’re complimented by heavy-shooter Fyodor Avramov and nifty scorer Andrey Krutov – who both found success in the MHL, Russia’s premier junior league, that they’ll now try to translate to the country’s pros. The Hurricanes have now drafted 15 players from Russia in just the last three years – showing plenty of confidence in bringing Russian players overseas.

UFA Signings

F William Carrier (six-years, $12MM)
F Jordan Martinook (three-years, $9.2MM)
F Jack Roslovic (one-year, $2.8MM)
F Eric Robinson (one-year, $950K)
F Joakim Ryan (one-year, $775K)*
F Riley Stillman (one-year, $775K)*
D Jaccob Slavin (extended eight years, $51.7MM)
D Sean Walker (five-years, $18MM)
D Shayne Gostisbehere (three-years, $9.6MM)
D Josiah Slavin (two-years, $775K)*

*denotes two-way deal

Carolina may not have lost as much quantity as some NHL teams, but their departing quality is as rich as it gets. That forced first-time general manager Eric Tulsky into a busy July as he looked to patch the many openings in the lineup. The rookie managed the feat well, bringing in highly capable defenders Sean Walker and Shayne Gostisbehere to replace the departing Brady Skjei and Brett Pesce. The new acquisitions might not match the confident offense of Skjei or the stout defense of Pesce, though both Walker and Gostisbehere worked into top-four minutes last season with reliable two-way play. Gostibehere is the particularly exciting of the two, coming off a career year with the Detroit Red Wings that saw him net 10 goals and 56 points in 81 games – a career-high in scoring. He’s entering his second stint with the Hurricanes, having served 13 points across 38 games, combined between the regular season and playoffs, with the team after a 2023 Trade Deadline swap. That could prove good prep as he approaches a Hurricanes season with major roles on the defense up for grabs.

But neither Gostibehere nor Walker will clinch too rich of a role, thanks to Carolina’s lofty re-signing of alternate captain Jaccob Slavin. The newly minted, max-term deal walks the veteran defender to his age-38 season – solidifying his spot as a career Hurricane amid plenty of turnover on the blue line. Slavin continues to stand as one of the most watertight defensemen in the league, offering consistent and reliable impact on both sides of the puck as well as both sides of the ice. Now cemented in the lineup, Slavin will look to carry the torch for Carolina’s restructured defense and will stand as a favorite for the team’s captaincy when long-running captain Jordan Staal calls his career quits. He’ll also get the honor of playing in the same organization as brother Josiah Slavin, who signed a two-way deal with Carolina but projects as a minor-league option.

Carolina complimented a defensive refresh by adding multiple bricks into the offense. Jack Roslovic stands as the most notable signee, joining Carolina after digging his feet into the third-line center role for both the Columbus Blue Jackets and New York Rangers. That led him to 39 points across 77 games this season, including the playoffs – continuing Roslovic’s flirting with the 40-point ceiling into its fourth consecutive season. He’ll likely make the biggest splash in the lineup, though it’s William Carrier’s six-year extension that stands as Carolina’s most eye-raising addition. Carrier scored just eight points in 39 regular season games last year – and just 25 points in 56 games in 2022-23. He’s now up to 107 points in 413 career games – certainly meager numbers, though he’s continued to find ways into the lineup with quick decision-making and a daunting physical presence. Carrier will now bring those traits into Carolina, looking to carve out a fourth-line role that he can carry through the end of the 2020s.

Eric Robinson, Joakim Ryan, and Riley Stillman will all compete for similar fourth-line roles, though it’d be forgetful not to mention Jordan Martinook, who’s earned a deal rivaling a $10MM total salary after playing in all 164 games and scoring a commendable 66 points, over the last two seasons. Martinook has found his stride with the Canes after slowly rising to prominence through the team’s bottom six. He’ll likely stay in that role moving forward, though his multi-year extension gives the Hurricanes much-needed consistency in their depths.

RFA Re-Signings

F Martin Necas (two-year, $13MM)
F Jack Drury (two-years, $3.4MM)
D Jalen Chatfield (three-years, $9MM)

While Carolina can rest on an energetic UFA window, their RFA signings are coated in bore after emerging forward Martin Necas, once the top name on many different trade boards, ultimately decided to re-sign in Carolina. The new deal walks Necas to unrestricted free agency, giving him the chance to handpick a new team at his earliest convenience, but it’ll come at the cost of two more seasons in Carolina. That’s certainly not much to complain about – after all, Necas has grown into his own with the Hurricanes, netting a career-high 28 goals and 71 points in 82 games during the 2022-23 season after a pair of 40-point years. He succeeded the career year with 24 goals and 53 points in 77 games this season, though even with the step back in scoring, Necas’ ability to fit in with Carolina’s offensive stars was clear. Necas was a center before being drafted but was quickly swapped to the wing by Carolina. Despite some intrigue in returning to his natural position, it’ll be the flanks that offer the most opportunity in Carolina – with Necas privy to even more ice time now that the team has lost Jake Guentzel and Teuvo Teravainen.

Carolina’s other RFA signings are much more par for the course – featuring reliable and growing depth pieces Jack Drury and Jalen Chatfield, who are both cutting their teeth on Carolina’s bottom lines and special teams. Chatfield’s multi-year deal gives Carolina blue-line exciting upside from top to bottom on the right side. While the 28-year-old is still early into his NHL career, his 22 points in 72 games this season and growing confidence as a physical presence have made him a gut punch down the depth of Carolina’s lineup. While the defense will inevitably shift around as new additions find their role, Chatfield’s grit should make him a steadfast feature on the bottom pair.

Departures

F Jake Guentzel (traded to Tampa Bay)
F Evgeny Kuznetsov (waived)
F Teuvo Teravainen (Chicago, three-years, $16.2MM)
F Stefan Noesen (New Jersey, three years, $8.25MM)
F Eric Staal (retired)
F Max Comtois (unqualified, signed with Dynamo of the KHL)
D Brady Skjei (Nashville, seven-years, $49MM)
D Brett Pesce (New Jersey, six years, $33MM)
D Tony DeAngelo (unrestricted free agent)
D Dylan Coghlan (traded to Winnipeg)
G Antti Raanta (unrestricted free agent)

The strength of this year’s departing Hurricanes would rival some of the NHL’s basement dwellers. Carolina is losing irreplaceable talent as they say goodbye to Skjei, Pesce, Teravainen, Kuznetsov – and, most notably, star winger Jake Guentzel, who’s donned the title of Steven Stamkos’ replacement in Tampa Bay. Guentzel was one of the headliners of this year’s Trade Deadline, making the first move of his career after eight years with the Pittsburgh Penguins. Carolina had to part with a laundry list of talent to reel him in, including winger Michael Bunting and multiple top prospects. Guentzel vindicated the asking price with 34 points across 38 games with the team, including tying for third on the team in postseason scoring. The Hurricanes are uniquely positioned to handle such a big blow, thanks to the emergence of Necas and the looming return of oft-injured Andrei Svechnikov, who’s scored 316 points in 406 games but hasn’t played 80 games in a season since 2019.

The Hurricanes are also saying goodbye to Eric Staal, who signed a one-day contract with the team to retire a member of the team that started the fruitful careers of both he and brother Jordan Staal. Eric made his debut with the Hurricanes in 2003 and quickly jumped off the page. He managed 100 points in his sophomore season as Carolina steamrolled their way to the 2006 Stanley Cup. He went on to total 775 points in 909 games with Carolina before continuing his stellar NHL career through stints with five teams, including the Minnesota Wild.

Salary Cap Outlook

Carolina enters the last stretch of the summer with just under $6.44MM in projected cap space, which could be enough room to sign their remaining RFA, Seth Jarvis, if they elect to offer him a bridge deal. But, if both sides elect to go to a maximum-length deal, Carolina’s cap situation could get spicy. The Hurricanes lost a lot of personnel this summer and will enter next season with several new faces; it’s likely the team has concerns about starting the season without Jarvis as a lot of the new pieces will be looking to acclimate, and it could lead to a slow start in Carolina. The Hurricanes don’t have a ton of bad contracts on the books and could make a move before the start of the regular season in case they need to clear space for Jarvis’ long-term pact.

Key Questions

Is Their Forward Depth Strong Enough? The Hurricanes’ forward depth took a beating this offseason, and they lost the likes of Jake Guentzel, Stefan Noesen, and Teuvo Teravainen.  The team scrambled for replacements on the free agent market, bringing Jack Roslovic as potential center depth, as well as Tyson Jost and William Carrier. The departures leave Carolina in a precarious position as their forward group was once the envy of most teams and now looks to be closer to average than it has been in a while.

Can The Goaltending Hold Up? There is no question that Frederik Andersen was spectacular last season for Carolina, but he was limited to just 16 regular season games and was very pedestrian in the playoffs. Andersen has played just 50 regular season games total the past two seasons, and his backup, Pyotr Kochetkov, has played just 69 career games split over three seasons. While both men are capable of holding the fort for Carolina, the question is, can they do it for an entire season? And, more importantly, can they do it in the playoffs? Andersen has been a great regular-season goalie for most of his career, but the story remains his inability to elevate his game in the playoffs, and it is something the Hurricanes will need if they want to take the next step.

Can The Defense Sustain Offseason Losses? Losing your second defensive pairing is never ideal, especially when that pairing is one of the best, which is what Brett Pesce and Brady Skjei were for the Hurricanes. Carolina had the luxury of playing Dmitry Orlov on their third pairing last year but will likely need to elevate him into the top four to navigate their other departures. The team is fortunate that they held onto defensive prospect Scott Morrow and should be able to insert him into the NHL lineup at some point this season, and they were also able to add veterans Shayne Gostisbehere and Sean Walker, who should be able to bring a veteran presence to the Canes back end. Carolina’s defense will look very different next season, and time will tell if that is for better or for worse.

Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.