Former Jennings Trophy winner John Gibson has been in trade talks on an annual basis for the past few summers, but the years-long saga may finally reach its conclusion in the coming days. The Ducks are ramping up their efforts to move the 30-year-old and have engaged in talks with the Red Wings and another unnamed team, David Pagnotta of The Fourth Period reports. Detroit is the first team to be firmly connected to Gibson this summer after Anaheim general manager Pat Verbeek acknowledged he was still drawing interest.
Gibson’s 2023-24 season was the worst of his career, continuing a long run of below-average play behind the rest of the Ducks’ rebuilding roster. He made 44 starts and two relief appearances without being significantly hampered by injuries, posting a .888 SV% and allowing 21.2 goals above average, per Hockey Reference.
He’s still carried the reputation of being one of the best up-and-coming netminders in the league in the mid-2010s, and there are many out there who believe he can get back to that level of play. Playing behind one of the most porous defenses in the league over the past five years certainly hasn’t helped his numbers. Even when accounting for the level of quality chances he’s faced, though, the stats aren’t promising. He hasn’t saved more goals than expected since the 2018-19 campaign, according to data from MoneyPuck.
For Anaheim, he’s been made expendable by the emergence of 24-year-old Lukáš Dostál. The 2018 third-round pick outplayed Gibson by every metric this season, posting a .902 SV% and 3.33 GAA with one shutout while making 38 starts and six relief appearances. He allowed 5.3 goals above expected compared to Gibson’s 9.6 over similar workloads, per MoneyPuck.
It’s not like Gibson would be arriving to a team known for its defensive responsibility in Detroit, either. While they had a competitive roster, losing out on their first playoff appearance since 2016 thanks to a regulation win tiebreaker with the Capitals, they were one of the worst teams in the league at controlling play at 5-on-5. They controlled only 46.5% of shot attempts, 45.2% of scoring chances and 43.0% of high-danger chances, according to Hockey Reference.
Goaltending is an area of need for the Wings, though. While Trey Augustine and Sebastian Cossa are both promising prospects long-term, they lack stability at the position entering next season. Gibson would give them a more established name to compete for starts with Ville Husso and Alex Lyon, who are both entering the final season of their contracts. But based on this year’s results, he wouldn’t be a significant upgrade. Lyon was quite serviceable, especially for his $900K cap hit, giving Detroit a solid .904 SV% through 44 appearances.
Any team acquiring Gibson is banking on a return to his 2015-2019 form, but he’ll likely need a strong defensive environment in front of him to make that a reality. If Detroit is intent on making a change to their crease next season, one of the less-established but lower-risk netminders available in free agency is a better bet. For a team on the cusp of playoff contention, adding three years of an uncertain Gibson at a $6.4MM cap hit is questionable.
jminn
Please, please, please make it happen.
HockeySenseNot
Yes please…
Red Wings
What is Yzerman thinking?
AaronV
He is doing his job, you check on every potential possibility. Doesn’t mean it happens.
detroitdave84
He’s thinking that’s he’s the decision maker & has a plan & you don’t understand it.
User 517680827
Goals saved above expected is nonsense.
fljay73
As a Buffalo fan I also hope Yzerman pulls of this trade!
$6.4mil per cap hit!
MotownWings13
Anaheim will be eating salary in any Gibson trade.
fljay73
Red Wings have 2 cheaper options below to 2 Vets on their last years. Having 4 goalies under contract gives you 4 options to find a solution.
Grocery stick
I’d think they didn’t clear all that cap space just to acquire another goaltender, especially not Gibson. Yzerman is probably waiting for Stamkos to hit the open market.
Motown is My Town
If the Wings do trade for Gibson, then Husso needs to be included in any deal. Verbeek was an assistant GM under Yzerman so they’re buddies trying to help one another, guess we’ll see if the old buddy system will work or not
kingsfan1968
Gibson is done!
Drucifer83314
Nah.
Johnny Z
Gibson at $4.4M for Husso and Berggren
HockeyBoz
BAD move. Why is everyone so hell bent on shipping out Berggren? Look at minutes played vs. goals. It is very good. Gibson is a disaster
Johnny Z
Berggren is disgruntled and has all but demanded a trade.
JustPete
I suspect the Ducks would need to eat virtually all of Gibby’s contract and the teams would swap a couple of under performers to make it look like a better deal for both sides.
jminn
Why not just buy him out?
66TheNumberOfTheBest
Verbeek cashing in all of his favors with the media.
rule78.1
If the Red Wings don’t fix their defensive problems then it isn’t going to matter who is in net for them.
Meanwhile a big pass on Gibson.
Tigersin2050
After Ullmark is gone, it makes sense Y is checking on anyone. But I hope this doesn’t happen. Still wondering what the extra cap space is for, or if the Walman trade was just an odd man out kind of thing. Anyway, going after Guentzel would be nice. But ultimately the defense needs to be better–maybe Matt Roy?