It’s no secret that Vancouver Canucks superstar center Elias Pettersson is heading into 2023-24 without a contract extension, hurdling toward restricted free agency next summer. The 24-year-old Swede spoke to Sportsnet’s Elliotte Friedman yesterday from Stockholm, saying he’s more concerned about his on-ice performance next season than spending energy working out an extension.
I’m not in a rush to sign. I mean, I’ve got one more year left over there and I don’t want to rush into anything because I still don’t know myself if it’s going to be a short-term [deal] or long-term [deal], but it’s probably going to be my biggest contract so far so I don’t want to stress anything.
Pettersson’s agent, Pat Brisson, further confirmed to Sportsnet’s Iain MacIntyre that he would not negotiate an extension with the Canucks until the end of the 2023-24 season:
The main focus will be for him to perform. It’s more that than anything else. Both sides can evaluate. Let’s sit down at the end of the year and explore where we’re at.
Coming off a 102-point season, Pettersson’s stock has never been higher. He’s seen his development take a rather linear rise since missing a solid chunk of 2020-21 with an upper-body injury, and a long-term deal seems like a much safer bet at this point in time than the last time Pettersson’s contract was up. He’s entering the final season of a three-year, $22.05MM bridge deal signed by former GM Jim Benning in 2021. Vancouver would assumedly like to get Pettersson locked in for the long haul as the salary cap rises, but it’s unclear whether he feels the same way.
After back-to-back 30-goal seasons and armed with a qualifying offer of $8.82MM, he’ll be looking for north of that number in negotiations, whether short-term or long-term. One outcome Vancouver will look to avoid at all costs is a two-year extension, which would use up his remaining RFA years and walk him directly to unrestricted free agency in 2026.
Canucks GM Patrik Allvin has been at his post for just over a year and a half, during which time he’s only signed one long-term contract: a seven-year, $56MM extension for J.T. Miller which kicks in this season. The richest deal he’s signed a restricted free agent to was winger Brock Boeser’s bridge deal, which came in at three years and $19.95MM. This is an entirely different and new situation for Allvin to navigate with Pettersson.
Another thing that may complicate contract comparables is Pettersson’s age. Most recent big-money, long-term deals for RFA centers either occurred immediately after their entry-level contract expired (Connor McDavid, Jack Eichel, Auston Matthews, etc.) or, more recently, at the end of their RFA eligibility with names like Mathew Barzal and Brayden Point. Pettersson falls between those two landmarks, potentially yielding a more favorable framework for a shorter-term deal.
Since breaking into the NHL with his Calder Trophy-winning season in 2018-19, Pettersson has accumulated 136 goals, 187 assists and 323 points in 325 games. He’s posted strong Corsi figures at even strength in each of his five NHL seasons and checked in at seventh in Selke Trophy voting last season after posting a +16 rating on a team that finished the season with a -22 goal differential. Everything points to Pettersson as an all-around top-flight center for years to come.
A rocky start to next season and extension talks remaining quiet could immediately plunge Pettersson’s future in British Columbia into doubt. Doing so now would be speculative – there’s been no information to suggest the two sides are far apart in negotiations or are otherwise developing animosity. Yet the fact that Pettersson is willing to let the season play out without expressively desiring a long-term commitment does put some pressure on the organization to perform this season. The Canucks have made the playoffs just twice in the past decade.
Salary cap considerations could also be a mitigating factor in a Pettersson extension, depending on what (if any) moves are made before talks begin. CapFriendly projects the team with $32.4MM in space for 2024-25, but that is considering a roster of just 11 players.
Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.
Dada5000
Why would he hurdle to free agency?
His legs might get sore
MacJablonski--NotVegasLegend
@Dada5000 – Especially if Myers is in the way.
FromNorthYorktoFernwood
He wants more then 10
They want to give him less then 9
Pay him before he Tkachuks you
Swiney50
‘One Foot Out The Door’ by Van Halen plays in the background…..
pawtucket
He gets another 100pt season you’re looking at 12+
Smart kid to wait. Cap goes up 4mil next year and he’s getting an extra mil per season x 8 even if he has a small regression points wise