As we approach the end of the year, PHR continues its look at what teams are thankful for in 2022-23. There also might be a few things your team would like down the road. We’ll examine what’s gone well in the early going and what could improve as the season rolls on for the Vancouver Canucks.
Who are the Canucks thankful for?
Amid turbulent times in Vancouver, the Canucks do find themselves with one of the brightest pieces in the entire league: Elias Petterssoon. Already a clear star in the NHL, the 24-year-old took the next step this season with a massive breakout, featuring 15 goals and 26 assists for 41 points through just 31 games.
The young Swede is signed through next season at a $7.5MM cap hit, expiring as a RFA, and was recently listed as the one untouchable player in the Canucks organization. Pettersson being “untouchable” might seem obvious, but on a team with a few superstars. but no certain direction in the short or long-term future, that denomination is significant.
Once this summer begins, regardless of the direction the team chooses to go in, the organization will surely need to focus on negotiations with their superstar center to keep him from hitting the UFA market in a couple of years. Extensions with J.T. Miller, Quinn Hughes, and Thatcher Demko are an encouraging sign of things to come, but the issues with captain and pending UFA Bo Horvat do raise concerns.
Regardless of contract concerns or the success of the current build, Pettersson has taken himself from a solid top-six forward and propelled himself into superstar status with this season. Having him, whether that’s to carry the team on his back, to build around, to ultimately deal for assets, or something else, is a blessing for the organization, especially as it goes through these difficult times.
What are the Canucks thankful for?
Assets
Regardless of who is untouchable or not in Vancouver, and independent of how the team chooses to navigate its future, the organization is lucky to have a bevy of assets that hold substantial weight on the trade market for different reasons. The most clear-cut of these is Horvat.
After negotiations appeared to break down between the Canucks and Horvat’s camp, it seemed as though the struggling Canucks would likely deal their captain before this winter’s trade deadline. Normally, a rental of a responsible two-way forward who was also good for 60 points would fetch a massive haul on the market, but that’s not necessarily the story here. This year, Horvat has been much the same player with one significant change: he’s on pace for 60 goals. If Horvat keeps that level of production up, or even remains close, Vancouver could be looking at a package of picks and prospects not seen at the deadline in some time.
Another interesting pending UFA could be first-year winger Andrei Kuzmenko. The former KHL star chose to come to North America this offseason, pursued by a number of NHL teams, ultimately signing a one-year ELC with Vancouver. Expectations were high for the winger, though he’s arguably eclipsed them, registering 29 points, 14 of them goals, through 32 games.
Outside of the “untouchable” Pettersson, perhaps Vancouver’s biggest asset could be Hughes, who Sportsnet’s Elliotte Friedman estimated would require a “mammoth” haul to get Vancouver to trade him. The 23-year-old, signed through 2026-27 at a $7.85MM cap hit, has blossomed into an elite playmaking defenseman for Vancouver. There’s no shortage of teams who might find themselves interested in the defenseman, though presumably the Canucks’ asking price could drive them away. While there’s been no connection between the two teams, it is interesting to consider the team best-equipped to make this kind of trade, the New Jersey Devils, already have both of Quinn’s brothers in the organization.
What would the Canucks be even more thankful for?
A clear direction
After a poor start, losing their first seven games to start the season, the Canucks were able to bounce back, even finding themselves just a couple of points out of a playoff spot at times. The team’s play hasn’t simply been mediocre since the rough start, but instead has been up and down, that start merely representing the first down.
Comments and action from management have lead some to believe the team could be headed for a rebuild, some to believe they need a short-term reset, and some believing the team is still trying to compete. Complicating the situation is the team’s 2021-22 season and the offseason that followed. Last season was rather similar to this one, a rough start, followed by a rebound, just missing the playoffs. The team appeared to need a clear direction last year too, and re-signing new head coach Bruce Boudreau, extending J.T. Miller, and signing Kuzmenko and Ilya Mikheyev seemed to indicate the team was all-in. But, this confusing start, the lack of a Horvat extension, and the previously discussed comments from management still make that unclear.
It would seem what Vancouver needs most in order to ice a team competitive enough to compete for a Stanley Cup, is simply direction. A full-scale rebuild might extend the process, but the assets they have now should bring back plenty of quality pieces. A temporary re-tool would make sense given the players they have signed long-term and what they could get back for players like Horvat and Kuzmenko. Continuing to compete as is wouldn’t be surprising either, given the team’s ability to bounce back and the players they have now, but that could be risky given Horvat’s contract status.
What should be on the Canucks holiday wishlist?
A Horvat extension, or a massive trade package
Already discussed in detail, the Canucks have had issues extending Horvat and at this point, a trade seems more likely than ever. Even with broken negotiations and a struggling team, it’s easy to understand why the Canucks would still prefer to work out a deal with Horvat.
It’s hard to imagine, so long as they get a respectable deal, that anyone would blame the organization either way. The issue comes with Horvat’s ability to simply leave on July 1st. Obvious as it sounds, the Canucks cannot allow Horvat to simply walk like Johnny Gaudreau did with the Calgary Flames last offseason, how Artemi Panarin did with the Columbus Blue Jackets in 2019, or how John Tavares left the New York Islanders in 2018.
None of those departures were a “good” thing for those teams by any stretch, however Calgary and Columbus had been in a position to win a Stanley Cup those years and needed their star wingers to compete for it. Add onto that, Calgary had expected they could re-sign Gaudreau for most of the spring, and Columbus knew what might be happening as Matt Duchene and Sergei Bobrovsky also hit the UFA market. As for the Islanders, they also expected to be able to re-sign Tavares the entire spring, but at the very least, though Tavares was going out, a pair of legends in that of GM Lou Lamoriello and head coach Barry Trotz were coming in, breathing new life.
What was the case for Calgary, Columbus, and New York isn’t necessarily the same for Vancouver. They have plenty of talented players, many of them signed long-term, a legendary executive in Jim Rutherford, and a star coach in Boudreau, but the team has been lacking direction for a few years now with no clear sign of a new one coming. Losing Horvat for nothing wouldn’t necessarily make a decision for them on their direction, but would make whatever option they eventually chose just that much more difficult to be successful with.
Trading Horvat and Kuzmenko could fetch a really good return. Move Myers and all of a sudden there is cap space, prospects, and still core pieces to build around