Although we’re not even two months into the season, the trade deadline is just over a month away. Where does each team stand and what moves should they be looking to make? We continue our look around the league with the Carolina Hurricanes.
Florida. Boston. Carolina. Those are the only three teams in the entire NHL who are currently in a playoff spot and also have over $2MM in projected year-end cap space – which prorates to eight-figure cap space at the deadline. In a buyer’s market, the Hurricanes are one of an elite trio who have the means to make a major splash. Additionally, sharing a division with one of the others – the Panthers – as well as the reigning Stanley Cup champion Tampa Bay Lightning and Western Conference champion Dallas Stars, gives Carolina even more motivation to load up before the deadline. A top-three team in points percentage, goals for per game, and power play efficiency and a top-ten team in goals against per game and penalty kill efficiency, the Hurricanes are truly elite this season and don’t have many holes. Yet, when you’re this close to a title and are one of the few teams who can do serious damage on the trade market, you pull the trigger.
Record
18-6-1, .740, 2nd in Central Division
Deadline Status
Buyer
Deadline Cap Space
$2.608MM in full-season space ($11.635MM at the trade deadline), 0/3 retention slots used, 45/50 contracts used per CapFriendly.
Only includes 21 players. Frequent recalls Jake Bean, Morgan Geekie, Alex Nedeljkovic currently on taxi squad.
Upcoming Draft Picks
2021: CAR 1st, CAR 2nd, CAR 3rd, CAR 4th, CAR 6th, CAR 7th, LAK 7th, STL 7th
2022: CAR 1st, CAR 2nd, CAR 3rd, CAR 4th, CAR 5th, CAR 6th, CAR 7th, CLB 7th
Trade Chips
Most years, having one of the deepest blue lines in the NHL has no downside. In an Expansion Draft year, however, it’s problematic. Even with star defenseman Dougie Hamilton slated for free agency and not requiring expansion protection (unless he’s re-signed early), the Hurricanes still face a conundrum. Jaccob Slavin, Brett Pesce, Brady Skjei, Jake Gardiner, Haydn Fleury, and RFA Jake Bean are all eligible to be selected by the Seattle Kraken and, due to a number of valuable forwards as well, Carolina can only protect three. Career ’Canes Slavin and Pesce seem like a lock, while veterans Skjei and Gardiner appear unlikely to be protected. Between their two young rearguards, Bean has shown much more upside this season than Fleury and is the more likely to be protected. Yet, that’s not to say that Fleury does not still have value around the league. At full strength, the Hurricanes have seven legitimate defensemen; while depth is important in the playoffs, could they consider moving one of the aforementioned before the deadline rather than losing them in expansion? With a more affordable contract and less experience compared to a Skjei or Gardiner, Fleury could be made available in a trade, especially if the Hurricanes are able to add a veteran rental defender as part of the return package. With term and even further team control remaining, the 24-year-old Fleury could command a nice market if the Hurricanes make him available, although his complete lack of offense this season does raise some concern.
Outside of Fleury, the ’Canes seem unlikely to move anyone off their NHL roster. But does that include Morgan Geekie? Geekie has played in nine games for Carolina this season, but due in part to poor play but mostly to his contract flexibility and a lack of a concrete role at the top level, Geekie has spent time on the taxi squad and in the AHL this season. The talented 22-year-old is still young and could find a full-time spot in Raleigh in the next year or two. However, if the right deal rolls around, the team could give up a future piece for help in the present. There are other impressive young forwards pushing to take his “next man up” title anyhow.
The same logic could apply to Alex Nedeljkovic. The young goaltender, who in retrospect should not have cleared waivers earlier this season, has performed very well this season, outplaying veteran James Reimer with starter Petr Mrazek sidelined. However, the Hurricanes have previously refrained from handing Nedeljkovic an NHL job even when a spot was available. Even with Mrazek and Reimer headed for free agency and Nedeljkovic able to be protected in expansion, if the Hurricanes don’t believe that he will be part of their NHL tandem next season, they could move him to acquire a goaltender that will be.
Others to Watch For: F David Cotton ($859K, RFA 2022), D Joey Keane ($859K, RFA 2022), G Jack LaFontaine (Draft Rights)
Team Needs
1) Starting Goaltender – When he was healthy earlier this season, Mrazek was phenomenal. He posted a stunning .955 save percentage and 0.99 GAA in his first four game. Then he got hurt and he hasn’t been seen yet. If the Hurricanes had a healthy, confident Mrazek ready to go at the deadline, perhaps they would stand pat in goal. At this point, that seems unlikely to occur. With Mrazek’s health as an unknown, Reimer playing just okay, and Nedeljkovic playing well but lacking NHL experience nevertheless playoff experience, some peace of mind in goal is the top priority for the ’Canes. Carolina could target a rental, but the pickings are slim. Jonathan Bernier and Antti Raanta could provide some stability, but they might not be enough of an upgrade and Linus Ullmark carries the same injury concerns as Mrazek. The more bold move, especially with contracts expiring for their current trio of keepers, would be to add a goalie with term. John Gibson and Darcy Kuemper are the biggest names on the rumor mill, but the Hurricanes could also try to break up the Rangers’ or Blue Jackets’ young tandems or target a dark horse name like Tristan Jarry or Thatcher Demko. A long-term starter would be a major addition for Carolina and make sense before the deadline, even if such moves usually take place in the off-season
2) Top-Nine Forward – What the Hurricanes actually lack are reliable depth options up front beyond their starting 12 or 13 forwards. However, when you have cap space and no one else does, you don’t aim to add depth, you aim to add players who push your players into depth roles. Even with solid starting depth and Teuvo Teravainen coming back from injury, Carolina could still stand to add another established top-nine forward that could push the likes of Jesper Fast or Warren Foegele for their spot who would in turn bump fourth liners like Cedric Paquette and Steven Lorentz to either play better or take a seat. Battles for play time and improved depth are hallmarks of a true contender.
3) Even if the Hurricanes don’t move Fleury or another NHL defenseman at the deadline, they could still stand to add another body. As it stands now, the team is without Gardiner due to injury and are just one more blue line injury away from Joakim Ryan becoming a starter. Behind him, you have veteran AHLer David Warsofsky, newcomer Maxime Lajoie, and the untested Keane. It’s not the worst depth, but it also doesn’t scream fool-proof. With the means to load up, the Hurricanes may as well add an experienced rental No. 8 defenseman who is a more reliable option to step in the case of injury or poor play than is Ryan or anyone on the Chicago Wolves.
66TheNumberOfTheBest
The Canes are the team most likely to be able to make a side deal with Ron Francis.
He might have a few pet projects left in the Canes system they can offer to take Gardiner.
AshevilleCanesFan
What team are you watching? You say the Canes lack reliable depth options up front? They recently had 6 players on the covid list, and with fill ins from their taxi squad they went on a tear, including beating Tampa, and then Dallas twice!
Have you even seen Steven Lorentz or Cedric Paquette play, or are you merely looking at their goal scoring stats? And you say Reimer is playing just okay…with a record of 12 – 3?
Have you ever really watched Warren Foegele play? NOBODY is going to push him for his spot.
And which Morgan Geekie are YOU talking about? The guy is a spark plug, a heavy hitter, a playmaker, and he works his butt off.
I’m not saying they should rule out making a trade to upgrade the line up somewhere, but the team chemistry is awesome, EVERY player contributes, the taxi squad rocks, and the Canes are off to their best start ever. And although acquiring a top notch goalie with term might be ideal, it would hamstring their ability to resign Dougie Hamilton, and eventually it would affect their ability to retain other budding stars in the future. If Michael Leighton could lead the Flyers to the Cup finals in 2010, the Canes are just fine in goal. The COMBINED salary cap hit for Mrazek, Reimer, and Nedeljkovic is $7,262,000. That’s $3.25 million less than the cap hit Cary Price ALONE costs Montreal. And it’s almost $5 million less than the cap hits for Sergei Bobrovsky or Andrei Vasilevskiy with Florida and Tampa. That money is better spent elsewhere in the line up.
And by the way, have you checked the standings lately?
itsmeheyhi
I’m a Canes fan and you’re delusional. Come back to us, babe.
Bernie MacDonald
Love the site.
I totally agree with AshevilleCanesFan. Anyone who watches the Hurricanes would not agree with the synopsis on the site. Seems whomever made the synopsis hasn’t understood the team or the intricacies on how the game has been played, especially this year. I’ll admit I am deficient in guessing free agency results and the Kraken draft. I think Ned is our future goalie – only 25. If I was GM I’d try and move Reimer and Gardner for draft picks, or even just one pick, with a poor team like Buffalo or Detroit.
Canes have 12 or 13 solid forwards. We have the team – worried if Turbo ever gets healthy. What would make anyone think we need to strengthen past that? 12 forwards is 4 lines. Has this analyst seen any team in the history of hockey that needed to strengthen numbers 13+ in forwards. Rather poor thinking.
Nice site though for hockey fans – thanks.