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Free Agent Focus 2024

Free Agent Focus: Chicago Blackhawks

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Free agency is now less than a week away and teams are looking ahead to when it opens.  There will be several impact players set to hit the open market in July while many teams have key restricted free agents to re-sign as well.  We continue our look around the NHL with an overview of the free agent situation for the Blackhawks.

Key Restricted Free Agents

F Taylor Raddysh – In his first full season with the Blackhawks during the 2022-23 NHL season, Raddysh led the pack after Chicago parted ways with Patrick Kane at the trade deadline. In 78 games, Raddysh scored 20 goals and 37 points and appeared to be locking down a position in the Blackhawks’ top six. Unfortunately, his production dropped precipitously this past season as Raddysh only mustered five goals and 14 points in 73 contests. Because of the roster flexibility, Chicago will likely give Raddysh one more chance on a one-year contract to determine his staying power with the organization.

D Isaak Phillips – As a strong performer for the team’s AHL affiliate, the Rockford IceHogs over the last several years, Phillips was beginning to look like a rising prospect in the Blackhawks’ farm system. Those same talents have been able to transfer to the NHL level, however, as Phillips has struggled to one goal and 11 points in 53 games over the last three seasons. Similarly to Raddysh, Chicago may give Phillips one more chance at the NHL level on a one-year pact to determine if they want to keep Phillips for the long haul. If he is unable to make the cut, the Blackhawks will have several prospects to pick from to graduate to the NHL.

Other RFAs: F Mackenzie Entwistle, F Joey Anderson, F Reese Johnson, F Michal Teply, D Louis Crevier, D Filip Roos, G Jaxson Stauber

Key Unrestricted Free Agents

F Tyler Johnson – It has been quite some time since Johnson has been worthy of a $5MM salary at the NHL level. Before the 2017-18 season, the Tampa Bay Lightning signed Johnson to a seven-year, $35MM contract and he only managed two quality seasons under that extension. Once his play completely came off the rails during the 2020-21 NHL season, the Lightning dealt Johnson and his contract to Chicago for the contract of defenseman Brent Seabrook. Outside of an injury-riddled 2021-22 season, Johnson has combined for 29 goals and 63 points over the last two years. Johnson could garner some interest as a bottom-six option on the free-agent market this summer but all signs indicate it will not be with the Blackhawks.

F Colin Blackwell – If Blackwell had it his way, he would already be under contract with the Blackhawks next season as he has already publicized his desire to stay with the organization. However, with the amount of prospects in Chicago, the forward core may become too saturated to defend re-signing Blackwell. Even though he is a defensively-minded forward and can help prevent pucks from going in Chicago’s net, the Blackhawks will likely look for a younger option internally to replace Blackwell’s minutes.

Other UFAs: F Rem Pitlick, F Mike Hardman, F Luke Philp, F David Gust, D Nikita Zaitsev, D Jarred Tinordi, D Jaycob Megna

Projected Cap Space

The Blackhawks could go in a lot of different directions this summer as they own the fourth-most cap space of any team in the league. Heading into tomorrow’s action, Chicago has approximately $28.9MM to work with. With the team making notable noise in the past two drafts, the Blackhawks should have a clear vision of their short and long-term plans.

It will be important to stay mindful though as Chicago will not want to put itself into a bloated future. The team is only two years away from being able to offer rookie phenom Connor Bedard an extension and it will be important for the team to build their cap structure around him. Whatever direction they ultimately take this summer, the Blackhawks have a superb amount of freedom to operate compared to other teams around the league.

Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.  Cap information courtesy of CapFriendly.

Free Agent Focus: Colorado Avalanche

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Free agency is now less than a week away and teams are looking ahead to when it opens.  There will be several impact players set to hit the open market in July while many teams have key restricted free agents to re-sign as well.  We continue our look around the NHL with an overview of the free agent situation for the Avalanche.

Key Unrestricted Free Agents

F Jonathan Drouin – One summer ago, the Avalanche brought Drouin into the fold on a low-risk one-year, $825K contract. Paired with Nathan MacKinnon for the first time since their time with the Halifax Mooseheads, Drouin would be among the highest-value signings of the previous offseason. Over 79 regular season games, Drouin scored 19 goals and 37 assists in Colorado, with the latter statistic marking a career-high. As much as there is a mutual interest between Drouin and the Avalanche on a contract extension, the organization will have to be very frugal this summer based on the pending status of Gabriel Landeskog and Valeri Nichushkin. Although he has more than earned a raise upon his previous salary, Drouin will still need to take a fairly hefty discount to remain in Denver.

D Sean Walker – Acquired to offset the departure of Bowen Byram during a busy trade deadline for the Avalanche, Walker will likely depart this summer. Walker was acquired by the Philadelphia Flyers last summer as a salary dump before finally making his way to Colorado for a top-10 protected first-round pick and the contract of Ryan Johansen. Walker logged heavy minutes during his time with the Flyers and rewarded the team with six goals and 22 points in 63 games. His average ice time dipped nearly two minutes after the trade to the Avalanche but he still managed four goals and seven points in the remaining 18 games of the regular season. Regardless of going scoreless through 11 games in the 2024 Stanley Cup playoffs; Walker should command $4-5MM per year on a multi-year contract agreement on the open market.

F Brandon Duhaime – A part of a rare intra-division trade during the trade deadline, Duhaime was brought in to serve as a bruiser in Colorado’s bottom six. Not much of a weapon in the points department — Duhaime has averaged 2.63 hits a game since making his debut with the Minnesota Wild during the 2021-22 NHL season. Unlike most of the other trade deadline acquisitions made by the Avalanche, Duhaime’s price tag wouldn’t necessarily prohibit him from staying in Denver. The team already has Josh Manson, Miles Wood, and Ross Colton as reliable physical options; but contending teams will always be looking for more physicality come springtime.

F Yakov Trenin – Similarly to Duhaime, Trenin was brought in via an intra-division trade with the Nashville Predators at the trade deadline as a physical presence. However, Trenin has been known to score much more than Duhaime evidenced by his 41 goals since the start of the 2021-22 NHL season. Trenin saw his role reduced considerably with the Avalanche, and may want to join a team where he can once again average 15 minutes of ice time per game. Colorado should have the financial flexibility to retain Trenin if they desire, but he will likely move on for a better opportunity this summer.

Other UFAs: F Joel Kiviranta, D Jack Johnson, D Caleb Jones, F Fredrik Olofsson, F Spencer Smallman, F Riley Tufte, D Brad Hunt, D Corey Schueneman, G Ivan Prosvetov

Projected Cap Space

This is where matters become incredibly complicated for the Avalanche. Going into the summer, the team will largely have to assume Landeskog and Nichushkin will return at some point during the 2024-25 NHL season, which would tack on another $13.125 million to the salary cap. Even though Colorado has just under $10.5MM available in cap space, the contract for Nichushkin alone would bring that value down to $4.34MM if he eventually returns.

Much like last offseason, the Avalanche will have to nibble around the fringes of the free agent market with the hope of landing some high-value contracts similar to Drouin. However, this approach does leave considerable room for danger. If Landeskog and Nichushkin do not return at any point next season, the Avalanche will have a bevy of unused cap space. As a team primed for Stanley Cup contention, this is a reality that Colorado can not allow to happen.

Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.  Cap information courtesy of CapFriendly.

Free Agent Focus: Columbus Blue Jackets

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Free agency is now less than a week away and teams are looking ahead to when it opens.  There will be several impact players set to hit the open market in July while many teams have key restricted free agents to re-sign as well.  We continue our look around the NHL with an overview of the free agent situation for the Blue Jackets.

Key Restricted Free Agents

D Jake Bean – A couple of years ago, the Blue Jackets made a move for Bean with the hope that he could become a longer-term option on the back end.  His first season went well before injuries were a significant issue in 2022-23.  This season, Bean was able to stay healthy but struggled while remaining limited in a third-pairing role.  At 26 with nearly 200 career NHL games under his belt, there is definitely a role for him on an NHL roster.  However, is he worth $2.8MM and granting him arbitration rights?  This is the decision that GM Don Waddell has to weigh.  If you’re wondering which way he might be leaning, remember that Waddell was the GM who moved him to Columbus in the first place.

F Kent Johnson – After a strong showing in his first full NHL campaign in 2022-23 that saw him put up 40 points in 79 games, expectations were high for the 2021 fifth-overall pick heading into the season.  However, he wound up not making the team out of training camp and when he was recalled later on, offensive success was harder to come by.  To make matters worse, he suffered a torn labrum in late February, ending his season prematurely while also affecting his offseason training.  It’s safe to say that he’s heading for a bridge contract and as a 10.2 (c) player, the Blue Jackets don’t have to worry about any potential threat of an offer sheet as he’s not eligible for one.

F Kirill Marchenko – The Blue Jackets haven’t had much success in the goal-scoring department in recent years but Marchenko is one of the exceptions.  The 23-year-old scored 21 goals in 59 games in his rookie year and followed it up with a 23-goal effort in 2023-24.  If Waddell is inclined to hand out a long-term agreement this summer, Marchenko is probably the candidate to receive it.  Otherwise, he could also be heading for a bridge deal.  Since he has arbitration rights, there’s a good chance that the agreement will push past the $3MM mark.

F Cole Sillinger – After a sophomore year to forget, Sillinger had a good bounce-back campaign, getting back around the numbers he had in his rookie year, notching 13 goals and 19 assists while improving at the faceoff dot and taking a regular turn on the penalty kill.  While it’s not the numbers they were hoping for from the 2021 first-rounder, Sillinger at least appears to be back on the upswing.  Once again, a short-term second contract is expected, one that should surpass $2MM per season.

F Alexandre Texier – After spending 2022-23 in Switzerland and having his contract tolled, Texier returned to Columbus and put up a career-best 30 points albeit with a lower point-per-game rate than in 2021-22.  There have been times when he has looked like a capable top-six piece but he hasn’t been able to play at that level consistently enough to stay there.  Accordingly, another short-term agreement is likely heading his way though he should get a raise from his $1.75MM salary which also serves as his qualifying offer.

Other RFAs: F Tyler Angle, D Marcus Bjork, D Jake Christiansen, G Jet Greaves, F Alexander Nylander

Key Unrestricted Free Agents

D Nick Blankenburg – It’s a pretty thin crop of pending unrestricted free agents which isn’t much of a surprise for a rebuilding team.  Blankenburg isn’t even a typical UFA as he qualifies as a Group Six free agent as a player who is 25 or older, has at least three professional seasons, and less than 80 NHL appearances.  Blankenburg was a full-timer on the NHL roster in 2022-23 but spent the bulk of this season in the minors where he also battled injury trouble.  Still, as someone who has had a bit of success at the top level (18 points in 55 games while logging over 18 minutes a night on average) and being a right-shot defenseman, Blankenburg should have fairly strong interest on the open market.

D Jakub Zboril – Zboril didn’t see any NHL action in 2023-24, instead splitting time between the AHL affiliates for Boston and Columbus.  Part of that could be attributable to the seven-figure cap hit he had, something that shouldn’t be the case next season.  The 27-year-old has 76 career NHL games under his belt and should have interest on two-way offers.  However, if he feels that the AHL is his likeliest destination, it’s also possible that he will consider his options overseas.

Other UFAs: F Joshua Dunne, F Brendan Gaunce, F Carson Meyer, G Malcolm Subban, D Billy Sweezey

Projected Cap Space

Cap space won’t be an issue for the Blue Jackets this summer as they enter the offseason with $21.675MM in spending room.  None of their pending restricted free agents are poised to command a pricey contract although there are enough of them to put a dent into that figure.  Nonetheless, there is enough room for them to try to make a splash this summer if Waddell wants to put his stamp on his new team early.

Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.  Cap information courtesy of CapFriendly.

Free Agent Focus: Dallas Stars

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Free agency is now just a month away and teams are looking ahead to when it opens.  There will be several impact players set to hit the open market in July while many teams have key restricted free agents to re-sign as well.  We continue our look around the NHL with an overview of the free agent situation for the Stars.

Key Restricted Free Agents

D Thomas Harley – Harley broke out in a big way last season, and it couldn’t have come at a better time for the 22-year-old as he could be in line for a big payday this summer. Harley had played just 40 NHL games before last season, but dressed in 79 games last year averaging over 21 minutes a game and posting 15 goals and 32 assists. The Syracuse, New York native is mobile for his size and keeps things simple with the puck but does have an offensive pulse. He has played mostly even-strength minutes in Dallas, and likely has more to offer on special teams should he be given an opportunity. Harley could be in line for a long-term extension with an AAV in the range of $5.5MM to $6MM, however, given the Stars’ cap crunch, he might need to settle for a bridge deal.

D Nils Lundkvist – Lundkvist is another two-way defenseman on the Stars’ backend and like many of the others he is mobile and plays a simple offensive game. Lundkvist won’t light up the scoresheet but his a good in the offensive zone keeping plays alive and getting pucks to the net. He is also a solid passer and plays a relatively safe style, taking care of his duties with and without the puck. Depending on the status of Tanev, Lundkvist could see a promotion next season and will likely receive a bridge deal this summer given the Stars’ cap crunch.

F Sam Steel – Steel was expected to be an offensive player in the NHL when he was drafted in the first round back in 2016. However, he’s never been able to find much scoring success, topping out at 28 points in 65 games last season. He’s bounced around to three organizations in the past few seasons but is still just 26 years old and has carved out an NHL role as a bottom-six forward who can provide energy and plays a fast game. Steel signed last summer for one year and $850K, however, this summer he should be able to find a multi-year deal and double his salary.

Other RFAs:  F Oskar Back, G Matt Murray

Key Unrestricted Free Agents

F Matt Duchene – Duchene bounced back to form in 2023-24 and delivered everything that Dallas was hoping for when they signed him to a one-year $3MM deal last summer. Duchene can still skate, and remains a threat on the power play, off the rush and in tight areas. He posted 25 goals and 40 assists in 80 games last year and has expressed an interest in returning to the Stars. The interest is mutual according to reports and it seems very likely that both sides can reach a multi-year deal in the range of $4MM – $5MM per season.

D Jani Hakanpää – Hakanpää had the unfortunate luck of having a career-worst season as he approached unrestricted free agency. The 32-year-old Finnish defenseman has been a solid contributor on the Stars’ blueline since the 2021-22 season but dressed in just 64 games in the regular season and wasn’t available in the playoffs due to injury. When he was healthy, he remained a solid third-pair defenseman and an excellent penalty killer as his big body can disrupt passing and block shots. Hakanpää isn’t a great skater and isn’t particularly good with the puck, but for a team looking for a safe, stay-at-home defenseman, he could be a good option.

D Chris Tanev – Tanev fit in seamlessly with the Stars after he came over to the team on February 28. He played predominantly at even strength and on the penalty kill and remained one of the best shot blockers in the NHL. Tanev can still skate and remains a good option to take on the other team’s best players, he leads by example and isn’t afraid to get physical. Any team that signs Tanev to a multi-year deal may have to contend with the backend of his contract becoming an albatross as players that play the same style as Tanev typically don’t age that well. That being said, Tanev will still fetch a few years on his next deal, likely north of $3MM per season.

Other UFAs: D Gavin Bayreuther, F Nicholas Caamano, C Fredrik Karlstrom, RW Joe Pavelski, D Alex Petrovic, D Derrick Pouliot, C Scott Reedy, D Jerad Rosburg, RW Craig Smith, G Scott Wedgewood

Projected Cap Space

Dallas has been a great team for a long time, but this summer might be the one in which they take a step back. The Stars have just over $16MM available under the salary cap and will have multiple holes to fill. If they are to sign a few of their pending free agents, that will leave them with very little space to plug holes in the lineup. However, the Stars are fortunate to have players like Mavrik Bourque in the AHL who are ready to step into an NHL lineup. This summer will be crucial for Stars general manager Jim Nill to maximize the window in which Dallas can continue to be a Stanley Cup contender.

Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.  Contract information courtesy of CapFriendly.

Free Agent Focus: Detroit Red Wings

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Free agency is now just a bit more than a month away and teams are looking ahead to when it opens. There will be several impact players set to hit the open market in July while many teams have key restricted free agents to re-sign as well. We continue our look around the NHL with an overview of the free agent situation for the Red Wings. 

Key Restricted Free Agents

F Lucas Raymond – The Red Wings have the never-exciting privilege of putting a price to their leading scorer this summer, with Raymond set for a substantial pay raise after posting 31 goals and 72 points in 82 games this season. He was incredibly productive on his entry-level contract, totaling 71 goals and 174 points in 238 games and quickly vindicating his top-five selection in the 2020 NHL Draft. The Red Wings intend to take their time in negotiating with both Raymond and Seider, which could drag negotiations through the summer, though it seems inevitable that Detroit will soon be locking up a their top winger for the foreseeable future.

F Joe Veleno – Joe Veleno hasn’t yet vindicated his first-round selection in the 2018 NHL Draft, though he did seem much more comfortable handling a daily NHL role this season – his third full-time year in the league. Veleno scored a career-high 12 goals and 28 points in 80 games this season, while serving a quaint role on the team’s third line. He hasn’t done much to warrant a particularly expensive new deal but he filled a role worth re-signing. At 24, a mid-term deal would take Veleno through his remaining RFA years and give him a chance to solidify his role with the team amidst his prime.

D Moritz Seider – Detroit’s summer will be co-headlined by Moritz Seider, after he spent all three seasons of his entry-level contract as the team’s top defenseman. He’s averaged nearly 23 minutes of ice time through the first 246 games of his career – not missing a single game, scoring 134 points, and earning one Calder Trophy as the NHL’s top rookie in 2022 along the way. That’s a dazzling way to spend the first contract of a career, and Seider will be due for a confident raise as a result. While he’s yet to reach the heights of his 50-point rookie year – scoring 42 in each of the last two seasons – Seider has accomplished enough before his 23rd birthday to place himself among the league’s highest paid defenders.

Other RFAs: F Jonatan Berggren, D Jared McIsaac

Key Unrestricted Free Agents

F Patrick Kane – Future Hall of Fame winger Patrick Kane joined the Red Wings in December after a dramatic return from hip resurfacing surgery this season. His return from injury was bumpy, with Kane in and out of the lineup with day-to-day issues as he beefed up his conditioning. But Kane returned to his usual self soon after, ultimately scoring 20 goals and 47 points in 50 games with the Red Wings – though plagued by ineffectiveness on defense. The 35-year-old legend has an unclear future ahead, with Detroit saying they’ll keep in touch ahead of July 1st and Chicago Blackhawks general manager Kyle Davidson confirming they aren’t looking for a reunion. His scoring is still encouraging – and his precedence is no doubt impressive – but too high of an asking price could make Kane hard for many teams to budget for.

F Daniel Sprong – Daniel Sprong vindicated a one-year, $2MM contract with the Red Wings with 18 goals and 43 points in 76 games this season. The performance was plenty of an encore to Sprong’s 21 goals and 46 points in 66 games with the Seattle Kraken last year, and seems to have finally solidified Sprong as an impactful middle-six winger years after his highly-discussed second-round selection in 2015. Sprong is due a raise from his $2MM salary this summer but he’ll likely not be able to demand much, with still little to show for his 344 games in the league. He seems set for a hardy extension this summer, and a return to an impactful role on Detroit’s second line next season.

D Shayne Gostisbehere – Shayne Gostisbehere joined Sprong in vindicating his signing this season, posting 10 goals and 56 points in 81 games while serving out a one-year, $4.125MM contract. Gostisbehere returned to his 50-point form after a runaround season last year that saw Gostisbehere traded from the Arizona Coyotes to the Carolina Hurricanes mid-year. But through all of the moves, Gostisbehere has continued his run as a stout second-pair defenseman, playing well enough to earn added salary and term this summer. Locking him up will go a long way towards solidifying Detroit’s depth throughout their defense.

Other UFAs: F David Perron, F Christian Fischer, F Zach Aston-Reese, F Austin Czarnik, F Taro Hirose, F Matt Luff, D Wyatt Newpower, G James Reimer, G Michael Hutchinson

Projected Cap Space

The Red Wings are entering the summer with plenty to do – but they’ll thankfully also have plenty to spend, with $29.367MM in projected cap space. There’s a very good chance that Raymond and Seider could eat into the majority of that space, though even $10MM should be enough to let Detroit sure up their depth pieces. Detroit could also choose to prioritize a few flashier free agency additions, with the promise of top prospects like Nate Danielson and Simon Edvinsson sure to help round out the offense soon.

Free Agent Focus: Edmonton Oilers

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Free agency is now just a bit more than a month away and teams are looking ahead to when it opens. There will be several impact players set to hit the open market in July while many teams have key restricted free agents to re-sign as well. We continue our look around the NHL with an overview of the free agent situation for the Oilers. 

Key Restricted Free Agents

F Dylan Holloway – Dylan Holloway has spent most of the last three seasons posting high scoring in the minor leagues but failing to follow up in NHL call-ups. That seemed to come to a peak this year, with Holloway netting 10 goals and 16 points in 18 AHL games but then totaling just nine points in 38 NHL regular-season games. It was looking like another disappointing year until Holloway stepped up in the postseason – tallying a handful of timely goals and putting in the work to make an impact even if his name isn’t on the scoresheet. Still, he has just seven points in 23 playoff games, not doing too much to warrant a prime contract next season. There are reasons for Edmonton to hold onto faith with the 2020 14th-overall pick, though he’s likely set for a short-term ‘prove it’ deal before anything substantial.

D Philip Broberg – Broberg’s career has followed a very similar track record to Holloway’s, featuring strong minor league scoring followed by weak performances at the top level. That has equated to 13 points in 81 NHL games for Broberg – though, like Holloway, he’s earned some stake back with strong appearances in the postseason, though he’s only played in eight games. The Oilers have been publicly shopping Broberg around for some time now, and seem destined for a breakup this summer – with a looming change of scenery hopefully sparking some offense in the former eighth-overall pick.

Other RFAs: F James Hamblin, F Raphael Lavoie, F Carter Savoie, D Noel Hoefenmayer, G Ryan Fanti

Key Unrestricted Free Agents

F Warren Foegele – The Oilers are facing a massive outflux of depth forwards this summer, headlined by Warren Foegele, who posted a career-high 20 goals and 41 points this season. Foegele has always found a way to be impactful but he seemed to find an added gear this year, fighting his way to confident third-line minutes and strong scoring amidst an Oilers bottom-six that was otherwise fairly tame. Foegele chose to have a career year at the right time, and will likely vie for a respectable price tag this summer with teams looking to prioritize depth scoring. But there’s no question that his strength shined best in the Oilers lineup, and he should be a popular candidate to re-sign.

F Connor Brown – Connor Brown was signed to replace Klim Kostin’s role of rough-and-tumble bruiser lined up next to Connor McDavid. But Brown couldn’t fill the role, managing just 12 points in 71 games this season and seeing his role dwindle from top-line minutes to healthy scratches. Brown has earned some merit back with six points in 17 postseason games, though he’s still filling a role much less than originally designed. That fact could make him expendable come the summer, among a long list of depth options hitting the open market.

F Adam Henrique – The Oilers must make judgment calls on multiple veteran forwards, including Henrique, Corey Perry, Sam Gagner, and Mattias Janmark. Of the bunch, it appears Henrique would have the best case to return. He posted a measly nine points in 22 games – and six points in 15 playoff games – after joining the Oilers at the Trade Deadline, but has still found a way to offer prominent depth at both wing and center. Flexibility and leadership are Henrique’s defining traits and it could prove invaluable as the Oilers look to turn a one-season run to the Stanley Cup Finals into a routine spot among the NHL’s top teams. At 34, it’s likely Henrique has a few years left in the tank without being able to command too pricey of a cap hit.

D Vincent Desharnais – Desharnais has filled the important role of team-bruiser for the Oilers, leading him to 78 appearances during the regular season, even though he potted just 11 points. He’s a hefty 6-foot-7, 226lbs, and knows how to throw around his weight without racking up the penalty minutes – totaling just 85 across his first 114 NHL games. Desharnais has distinctly shown what kind of player he is and will likely be due a cheap contract as a result, but his ability to serve as the brawn behind the skilled Oilers lineup sets him up to become a consistent of the team’s bottom lines.

Other UFAs: F Sam Carrick, F  Sam Gagner, F Mattias Janmark, F Corey Perry, F Adam Erne, F Greg McKegg, D Troy Stecher, D Cam Dineen, D Markus Niemelainen, G Calvin Pickard

Projected Cap Space

The Oilers are entering the summer with just $10.03MM in projected cap space. That’s likely enough to bring back a few depth pieces – and both of their notable RFAs – but it won’t be enough for the team to make any notable improvements after making a run to Game 7 of the Stanley Cup Finals. They’ll have to hope their current makeup can find similar success next season – and will soon need to lean on young depth pieces like Xavier Bourgault and Beau Akey as they continue to be priced out of consistency down the lineup.

Free Agent Focus: Florida Panthers

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Free agency is now just a bit more than a month away and teams are looking ahead to when it opens. There will be several impact players set to hit the open market in July while many teams have key restricted free agents to re-sign as well. We continue our look around the NHL with an overview of the free agent situation for the Panthers.

Key Restricted Free Agents

F Anton Lundell – This summer marks the first chance for Anton Lundell to negotiate a raise, after paving his way into a strong role on the team’s middle-six after making his NHL debut in 2021-22, at the age of 19. Lundell scored 18 goals and 44 points in 65 games in his rookie years, both tallies that remain career-highs, though he’s since combined for 112 points through his first 216 career games and shown plenty of value off of the puck. To boot, Lundell has found an extra scoring touch this postseason, so far posting 16 points in 22 playoff games as the Panthers look to win the first Stanley Cup in club history. That renewed scoring will surely necessitate a bump in Lundell’s looming pay raise, though his impressive two-way ability and role on both special teams already warrant a hefty contract. At 22, a long-term deal would take Lundell through the bulk of his prime years – likely exactly what the Panthers will hope to guarantee this summer.

D Josh Mahura – Florida claimed Mahura off of waivers from the Anaheim Ducks ahead of the 2022-23 season, and quickly awarded him a routine role on the third pairing. Mahura played in all 82 games of Florida’s last season, posting 16 points in what was the first full year of his career. The performance was enough to earn him a one-year, $925K contract extension last summer, though Mahura didn’t get much of a chance for an encore, with a lower-body injury limiting him to just 30 games and nine points this season. He’s been replaced by a rotation of Dmitry Kulikov, Tobias Bjornfot, and Uvis Balinskis – with Kulikov nabbing the day-to-day role. Luckily, Kulikov is also facing free agency, which could give Mahura a chance to reclaim his role on a cheap contract next season.

Other RFAs: F Rasmus Asplund, F Patrick Giles, D Santtu Kinnunen, G Evan Cormier, G Mack Guzda

Key Unrestricted Free Agents

F Sam Reinhart – Adding to the headache of extending their hopeful second-line center of the future, Florida will also need to find a price for Sam Reinhart after an explosive season. Reinhart scored 57 goals and 94 points this season – the most goals any Panther has managed any Panther since Pavel Bure in the 2000-01 season. The performance will warrant a significant reward this summer, though it’s hard to price Reinhart after a near-30-point jump in scoring between last year and this year. But while he may not always rival 60 goals a season, Reinhart has found goal-scoring consistency over his three seasons with Florida and should garner the price tag of a top-line scorer as a result.

F Vladimir Tarasenko – The Panthers acquired Tarasenko at the Trade Deadline, with Florida sending one conditional pick, either a third or fourth rounder, and a 2025 third round pick back to the Ottawa Senators. And despite some cold streaks, Tarasenko ultimately vindicated the acquisition with 14 points in 19 regular season games and nine aptly timed points in 22 postseason games. He’s been a strong addition to the team’s middle-six, though looking much more slowed than in his prime years. Tarasenko has offered great depth scoring in his veteran years, though he could be a casuality of Florida’s limited cap space, with two much more notable free agents higher on the team’s priority list. He’ll be hotly coveted should he enter the open market, offering 119 career playoff games and Stanley Cup-winning precedent.

D Brandon Montour – Keeping up the important role-players facing the market, Florida will need to find a way to price out their defensive group, with Brandon Montour due for a new deal this summer and Aaron Ekblad entering free agency next summer. The duo have combined with Gustav Forsling to create a defensive corps that’s served as Florida’s unrelenting consistent as the year has gone on. One of the three defenders is able to step up no matter what situation the team is facing, playing a major role in the team’s drive to a second Stanley Cup Finals. Montour even managed a career-year last season, posting 16 goals, 73 points, and 107 penalty minutes in 80 games. He quieted down quite a bit this year, returning to just 33 points in 66 games. Montour’s impactful role will make him hard to let go, though a precedent of high scoring and plenty of outside interest could be enough to price Montour out of Florida’s budget.

D Oliver Ekman-Larsson – Among the stars needing new deals, Florida also has seven depth skaters set to enter unrestricted free agency. The list includes important pieces of Florida’s postseason run, including Nick Cousins, Ryan Lomberg, and Kyle Okposo. But among the punch, it’s Ekman-Larsson who seems to have made the biggest case for a new deal. The veteran defender saw a small return to form this season, recording 32 points in 80 games, the most he’s managed since the 2018-19 season. He looked more confident in the process, better filling a smaller role than what he had in Vancouver. Florida will have to comb through their depth for viable NHL talent with so many depth pieces entering the market, and the existence of Mahura and Balinskis could be enough to push Ekman-Larsson out of a role. But with a strong performance following his move, and likely just a few years left in his career, it’s hard to think Ekman-Larsson would ask a hefty price to stay with a playoff team.

G Anthony Stolarz – Stolarz filled Florida’s backup role all season long, stepping up while Spencer Knight spent time in the AHL and NHL Player’s Assistance Program. Knight is expected to be back at full force next season, though Stolarz has certainly done enough to show his NHL value – posting 16 wins and a .925 save percentage in 27 appearances this season. The Panthers have $4.5MM committed to Knight in each of the next two seasons and will want to reap some kind of return for that price tag soon. But Stolarz’s strong performance behind Sergei Bobrovsky should be enough to warrant attention in a year with plenty of teams looking for goaltending support.

Other UFAs: F Nick Cousins, F Ryan Lomberg, F Steven Lorentz, F Kyle Okposo, F Kevin Stenlund, F Gerald Mayhew, F Alex True, D Dmitry Kulikov, D Lucas Carlsson, D Casey Fitzgerald, D Matt Kiersted, G Magnus Hellberg

Projected Cap Space

The Panthers are set to enter the summer with just $20.02MM in projected cap space. That should be plenty to renew Lundell and one other top-line player, whether it be Reinhart or Montour, though the need to fill so many depth positions will likely quickly run up Florida’s budget. They’ll need one of their top names to take a miracle discount if they want to get through the summer without any major losses – though the heft of pending free agents could provide great opportunity for young players like Mackie Samoskevich, Justin Sourdif, and Balinskis to earn daily roles.

Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Network. Cap details via CapFriendly.

Free Agent Focus: Los Angeles Kings

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Free agency is now less than two weeks away and teams are looking ahead to when it opens.  There will be several impact players set to hit the open market in July while many teams have key restricted free agents to re-sign as well.  We continue our look around the NHL with an overview of the free agent situation for the Kings.

Key Restricted Free Agents

F Quinton Byfield – The Kings were hoping that the 2020 second-overall pick would take a big step forward and become a key top-six threat for them in 2023-24.  Mission accomplished on that front.  After being more of a role player in his first couple of years, he was regularly in the top six while taking a regular turn on the power play.  Byfield also did so while playing primarily on the wing which isn’t his natural position.  That could change moving forward now with Pierre-Luc Dubois in Washington, opening up a path for Byfield to move back down the middle.  A bridge contract might be the safer route here, checking in somewhere around the $4MM mark but if GM Rob Blake thinks that Byfield has another level to get to, he could try to pursue a long-term agreement, one that would likely push past $7MM per season.

F Arthur Kaliyev – In his first two seasons, Kaliyev was a decent secondary scorer, albeit an inconsistent one.  However, he struggled considerably in 2023-24 and following the midseason coaching change that saw Jim Hiller take over, the 22-year-old hardly played after that.  With a qualifying offer of just $874K, he shouldn’t be a non-tender risk but it’s more than evident at this point that a change of scenery would be a good idea for both sides.

F Blake Lizotte – After a breakout showing in 2022-23, Lizotte saw his output drop this season, tallying just 15 points in 62 games.  He’s a regular on the penalty kill and plays with some jam despite his smaller stature but he’s owed a $1.675MM qualifying offer, one that also carries arbitration rights.  With a 34-point effort the year before, it’s probable that the award would check in over $2MM.  For the limited role he fills, is that the best use of their money or would a non-tender make more sense while they look to fill that role with someone cheaper?

D Jordan Spence – The 23-year-old was basically a full-time NHLer for the first time this season, getting into 71 games.  He was predominantly limited to playing on the third pairing with a bit of power play time but he still managed a respectable 24 points which will definitely help his case in negotiations.  Given the limited role, it doesn’t make much sense for a long-term agreement to be worked out but a short-term bridge deal worth a little over $2MM might be the right fit.

Other RFAs: F Samuel Fagemo, F Carl Grundstrom, G Jacob Ingham, F Tyler Madden, G Erik Portillo, F Alex Turcotte

Key Unrestricted Free Agents

F Viktor Arvidsson – Suffice it to say, this was not the ideal walk year for the 31-year-old.  Arvidsson missed the first 50 games of the season after undergoing back surgery, then landed back on LTIR just four games after returning.  He did come back to finish off the year and played in the playoffs but suited up just 21 times combined.  Still, Arvidsson has a track record of being a quality top-six piece with five 20-goal seasons under his belt while being a strong possession player which helps.  But with the injuries, it’s hard to see teams offering up a long-term deal.  Instead, the offers might be more of the three-year variety while he’s a candidate to opt for a one-year pillow contract in the hopes of showing he’s fully healthy, thereby bolstering his value for the 2025 open market.

F Trevor Lewis – A veteran of 16 NHL seasons, Lewis has been an effective fourth liner for quite some time.  His production has dropped compared to his first stint with the Kings when he was more in his prime but he’s still worth signing to fill the role he has the last few years.  That will be a contract at or close to the league minimum salary but he should get another deal to give him a shot at reaching 1,000 career regular season games, a number he’s 26 shy of at the moment.

D Matt Roy – Roy has been one of the more under-the-radar blueliners over the past few years.  He’s a stable second-pairing player who can move up when needed while also helping to anchor the penalty kill.  On top of that, he’s a right-hand shot, the side that’s always in high demand.  Los Angeles would undoubtedly love to bring him back but the 29-year-old is well-positioned to cash in and this is his best shot at a big long-term deal.  After making $3.15MM the last three seasons, he could come close to doubling that on the open market.

G Cam Talbot – The veteran wound up settling for a low-cost contract that ultimately paid him $2MM with bonuses; $1MM of that will be on the Kings’ books in 2024-25.  Still, the move worked out well for both sides as the 36-year-old made 52 starts, posting a 2.50 GAA with a .913 SV%, more than respectable numbers for someone at that price point.  With their acquisition of Darcy Kuemper, it’s likely that Talbot moves on but as one of the more proven netminders on the market, he should be able to land another one-year deal, perhaps with a bit more guaranteed money this time around.

Other UFAs: D Kevin Connauton, G Pheonix Copley, G Aaron Dell, F Hayden Hodgson, F Mikhail Maltsev, D Steven Santini, F T.J. Tynan

Projected Cap Space

After being rather limited spending-wise last summer, the Kings have $23.45MM in flexibility for next season.  Granted, they have as many as ten players to sign with that money with a fair-sized chunk of that being earmarked for Byfield’s contract and the re-signing or replacing of Arvidsson and potentially Roy.  Nonetheless, Blake has a chance to make another splash this summer, one he’ll be hoping works out a lot better than the one he made around this time a year ago.

Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.  Cap information courtesy of CapFriendly.

Free Agent Focus: Minnesota Wild

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Free agency is now just a bit more than a month away and teams are looking ahead to when it opens.  There will be several impact players set to hit the open market in July while many teams have key restricted free agents to re-sign as well.  We continue our look around the NHL with an overview of the free agent situation for the Wild.

Key Restricted Free Agents

F Mason Shaw – Shaw made a valiant return to the lineup this season, signing a contract through the end of the season in February after recovering from the fourth ACL tear of his career. It’s become a biannual injury, with Shaw, still just 25 years old, facing it in 2017, 2019, 2020, and 2023. After having his 2022-23 campaign limited to just 59 games – his official rookie season – Shaw managed to appear in 20 games this season, recording three points and 34 penalty minutes. He also appeared in nine AHL games, recording seven points and a13 penalty minutes. Shaw is a depth forward and penalty-kill specialist, though his ability to once again battle back from injury should be enough to earn him another short-term, cheap contract – and another crack at a full year of healthy NHL play.

D Declan Chisholm – The Wild claimed Chisholm off waivers from the Winnipeg Jets in late January, and immediately slotted him in to the team’s rotation of bottom-pair defenders. Chisholm would ultimately total 29 games with the Wild, playing through his official rookie season and scoring eight points along the way. He’s filled the role of the team’s offensively-minded depth defenseman, one previously held by Calen Addison, who was traded to the San Jose Sharks in November. At 24, Chisholm doesn’t seem to be showing many signs of breakout potential, though he presents a young and cheap change-of-pace option to round out the Wild’s defense.

F Adam Beckman – The time has come for a decision on Adam Beckman, who has yet to find his stride in the NHL despite 23 career games. 11 of those games came this year, with Beckman managing two of the first three assists of his career and adding 12 penalty minutes. He’s been an effective scorer in the minor leagues, tallying 19 goals and 33 points in 51 games this year, after posting 24 goals and 36 points in 53 AHL games last year. That’s a promising pace, especially on a meager Iowa Wild offense, though there’s no telling what the path forward for Beckman may look like. His looming contract negotiations should be telling of Minnesota’s intentions with their 2019 third-round selection, as well as his chances of carving out an everyday role in the NHL next season.

Other RFAs: F Dmitry Ovchinnikov, F Adam Raska, F Sam Hentges, F Samuel Walker, D Simon Johansson, G Hunter Jones

Key Unrestricted Free Agents

D Dakota Mermis – Mermis was Minnesota’s de facto seventh defenseman this season, bouncing between the lineup through the early parts of the season before earning a daily depth role following Addison’s trade. He appeared in a career-high 47 games as a result, netting eight points and 33 penalty minutes.  Mermis is yet another cheap option for depth defense in Minnesota, though he faces crowded competition for minutes should he re-sign.

D Alex Goligoski – The Wild ended up turning away from Goligoski this season, as Mermis emerged as a legitimate candidate for minutes during Goligoski’s 15 game absence to a lower-body injury early in the season. The 38-year-old veteran would end up a healthy scratch for multiple games in the second half of the season, though he did still manage 10 assist in the 36 games he appeared in. It seems the curtains are beginning to draw closed on Goligoski’s 16-year career in the NHL, which featured a Stanley Cup in his rookie season of 2009 and saw him reach 1,000 games in 2022. Even if Goligoski’s intent on playing more, he’ll seemingly have to find a new home in free agency – after losing his spot with the Wild.

D Will Butcher – Minnesota acquired Butcher in January, sending AHL forwrard Maxim Cajkovic back to the Pittsburgh Penguins. Butcher has spent the last two seasons entirely in the AHL, serving out two separate league-minimum, one-year contracts and totaling a combined 59 points in 103 games. He’s a far way from his breakout 2017-18 rookie season, when he scored 44 points with the New Jersey Devils. Butcher’s his last NHL stint coming with the 2021-22 Buffalo Sabres, when he managed eight points in 37 games. He’s likely doomed for another league-minimum contract this season, and will need to fight his up from a minor league role.

Other UFAs: F Jacob Lucchini, F Turner Elson, F Steven Fogarty, F Jujhar Khaira, F Nick Swaney, G Zane McIntyre

Projected Cap Space

The Minnesota Wild can enjoy rare peace of mind this summer, facing a very minimal list of pending free agents in terms of both quantity and projected cost. The team should have plenty of room to re-sign their choice of the departing names, with $6.256MM in projected cap space. With a backlog of depth defenders and a mostly filled-out lineup, the Wild could be in a prime position to make at least one lucrative free-agent addition – likely focused on bringing a boost to the bottom-six.

Free Agent Focus: Montreal Canadiens

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Free agency is now just a month away and teams are looking ahead to when it opens.  There will be several impact players set to hit the open market in July while many teams have key restricted free agents to re-sign as well.  We continue our look around the NHL with an overview of the free agent situation for the Canadiens.

Key Restricted Free Agents

F Jesse Ylonen – Hoping to build on a solid depth scoring season in 2022-23, Ylonen failed to boost his production in any meaningful way. In fact, he took a step or two back during the 2023-24 campaign while seeing his ice time dip towards the back half of the season. Ylonen saw his point-per-game average drop from 0.43 P/G to 0.14 P/G in only one year. Luckily, this should allow Montreal to keep him close to his previous league-minimum salary of $775K in hopes that he will rebound for the 2024-25 NHL season.

D Arber Xhekaj – Not much of a point producer from the back end, Xhekaj has become a valuable presence on the Canadiens’ blue line. Over the last two years, Xhekaj has scored a total of eight goals and 23 points over 95 games while also delivering 284 hits. However, because of his physicality, Xhekaj has lost quite a few games to injury in his first two years with Montreal, and the team will be hoping he can maintain better health moving forward. He should be able to get a modest raise on his most recent salary of $828K at the NHL level this summer, as Evolving Hockey projects a 2-year, $3MM contract for Xhekaj.

D Justin Barron – Acquired in the trade that sent Artturi Lehkonen to the Colorado Avalanche during the 2022-23 NHL season, Barron could potentially be crowded out of the Canadiens defensive core this summer. Shuffled back-and-forth between Montreal and their AHL affiliate, the Laval Rocket, Barron failed to build on his production this season despite seeing his ice time increase by an average of two minutes. It’s unlikely that the Canadiens will choose not to tender Barron a contract this offseason, but he may start the season in Laval with the team already having a crowded blue line.

Other RFAs: F Lias Andersson, F Filip Cederqvist, D Mattias Norlinder

Key Unrestricted Free Agents

F Tanner Pearson – After suffering through injuries during the 2022-23 campaign with the Vancouver Canucks, Montreal acquired Pearson last offseason for some much-needed depth scoring. However, Pearson would have one of his worst seasons to date in northeastern Canada, scoring five goals and 13 points through 54 games this year. A few weeks ago, it was announced the Canadiens have no intentions of re-signing Pearson, confirming he will hit the open market this summer.

Other UFAs: F Colin White, D Chris Wideman, F Arnaud Durandeau, F Philippe Maillet, F Mitchell Stephens, D Brady Keeper

Projected Cap Space

Heading into the summer months, the Canadiens organization will have around $9.4MM of cap space to work with, with the ability to go 10% over the upper limit. Once the 2024-25 season starts, the team will place goaltender Carey Price on long-term injured reserve which will open up another $10.5MM to work with during the year.

Unless Montreal can somehow facilitate a trade of Price’s contract this summer, they will have a little wiggle room to add an impact piece in free agency. Defenseman Mike Matheson and forward Juraj Slafkovsky took major steps forward this past season and the organization’s prospect pool should add complimentary pieces shortly. Because of this, Montreal’s sole focus should be moving out bloated but moveable contracts in Christian Dvorak and Joel Armia to increase the organization’s cap flexibility despite Price’s massive salary.

Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.  Contract information courtesy of CapFriendly.

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