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Morning Notes: CBA, Markov, CTE

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The NHLPA Executive Board will meet on Wednesday to discuss the upcoming September 15th opt-out deadline for the current Collective Bargaining Agreement according to Pierre LeBrun of The Athletic, who adds that there should be an announcement from the league on their own clause by the end of the weekend. Both sides could choose to terminate the current CBA early, though the entire 2019-20 season would still be played under it.

There has been positive reports for months coming out of CBA negotiations between the two sides, but nothing has been officially announced yet on whether they will continue to work under it, end it early or sign a potential extension. The agreement is currently set to expire in 2022.

  • Andrei Markov’s new representation is hard at work trying to sell the 40-year old defenseman, and Eric Engels of Sportsnet reports that there have been around five teams who have already checked in. Allan Walsh of Octagon Hockey told Engels that his new client is looking for a one-year deal and is willing to play anywhere in the NHL, even if he does admit to wanting to finish his career with the Montreal Canadiens. Markov has spent the last two years in the KHL where he recorded 14 points in 49 games last season.
  • With Ben Lovejoy deciding to retire today, Rick Westhead of TSN reminds us that the veteran defenseman was the first active NHL player to pledge his brain to the Concussion Legacy Foundation for study after his death. No other active NHL player has followed suit, though several former players have made the pledge. Lovejoy made the pledge without ever having been diagnosed with a concussion, noting that he is “a believer in science” and wants “to do anything [he] can to help.”

Morning Notes: CBA, Mayotte, Aho

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This September, the NHL and NHLPA will both have the ability to opt out of the current Collective Bargaining Agreement. The CBA would still run for the 2019-20 season, but would expire afterwards and threaten a work stoppage in 2020. As Chris Johnston of Sportsnet reports however, there is still optimism between both sides in the talks they’ve had at this point. The agreement expires normally in 2022, but could be extended if the two sides reach an agreement.

Deputy commissioner Bill Daly also told Johnston that there are tentative plans to hold the next World Cup of Hockey in February of 2021, an event that would replace the in-season All-Star game. The last World Cup was held in September of 2016, but resulted in several players suffering injuries just before the regular season began.

  • Kris Mayotte has left Providence College to join the University of Michigan coaching staff as an assistant under Mel Pearson. The 36-year old former minor league goaltender worked closely with Hayden Hawkey over the last several years in net for the Friars, and was an assistant coach on two USA Hockey World Junior teams. Though his appointment at Michigan may technically be a step backwards in title—he was an associate head coach last season with Providence—it will put his name even further up the coaching ladder. Mayotte is a rising name in the field that will likely be considered before long for an opportunity at the professional hockey level.
  • Sebastian Aho spoke with reporters including Dan Rosen of NHL.com at the European Player Media Tour this week and explained that his entire plan this offseason was to get a contract done before training camp started. That’s why the young Carolina Hurricanes forward signed an offer sheet, giving him a way to guarantee that everything would be settled ahead of time. With a dozen other high profile restricted free agents still unsigned, Aho explained that he’s even happier with his decision now and glad to have remained with the Hurricanes.

Decision On Playing Future Coming Soon From Roberto Luongo

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The Florida Panthers have been linked to Sergei Bobrovsky since he made his intention to hit free agency known, but with Roberto Luongo and James Reimer still under contract it didn’t seem possible without an additional transaction. Recently a report surfaced that the Panthers are trying to find a trade for Reimer, but Luongo’s future still was unclear. Today, Frank Seravalli of TSN tweeted that a decision is expected to come from Luongo over the next few days on what he plans to do this season: play, retire, or start the year on long-term injured reserve.

Luongo, 40, has a lingering hip issue that has limited him in recent seasons and theoretically end his career if he decided not to push it further. That could be a solution for the Panthers, who could put his contract on long-term injured reserve for some additional cap flexibility or potentially trade it to a team looking to hit the cap floor. Luongo currently has three years remaining on his current deal, but is owed just over $3.6MM in actual salary on his extremely front-loaded deal. That structure is why retirement is a terrible option for the Panthers (and Vancouver Canucks, who signed the deal in the first place and are retaining some of the salary).

Deals like Luongo’s 12-year contract were outlawed in the latest CBA negotiations, with a cap recapture penalty being put in place for any player that retires early. The idea was to punish teams for adding years to a contract that were never meant to actually be played just to reduce the average annual value. Though there is no consensus currently on the exact numbers, Seravalli tweets that if Luongo were to retire right now the Canucks would face a $3.03MM cap recapture penalty for the next three years, while the Panthers would face a $1.09MM penalty for the same duration.

Still, there is always the option of playing again. While Luongo wasn’t his usual self last season due to the injury, he’s only one year away from a season in which he posted a .929 save percentage, his best since 2004. If the team can find a way to move Reimer, perhaps in a reduced role he could still be an effective option even at his high price tag.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images

Snapshots: Salary Cap, Clarkson, Vanek

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For quite some time the prevailing thought has been that the 2019-20 salary cap ceiling would climb to $83MM, giving teams a little more room to operate next season after the success of the Vegas Golden Knights and rising league revenues. That might not be the case however, as Bob McKenzie of TSN has spoken to several teams that believe it may come in under $82MM when the NHL and NHLPA come to an agreement later this week.

That’s a very small increase, but with CBA negotiations just around the corner may end up being all that is available to teams this time around. Elliotte Friedman of Sportsnet posits a theory that the league and union will keep the salary cap increases small for the next two years until the next television contract rolls in. The Vegas Golden Knights are one of the teams that will feel the squeeze most, as they already project to have more than $83MM committed to next season, without even signing William Karlsson or Nikita Gusev.

  • One way the Golden Knights could clear some room is by using long-term injured reserve on David Clarkson, who will not play again but still carries a $5.25MM cap hit. Even better would be to get rid of Clarkson’s contract entirely, and Jesse Granger of The Athletic notes that Clarkson’s camp actually submitted his 14-team no-trade list today. As Granger puts it, the submission is simply clerical as it doesn’t matter where Clarkson goes, but needed to be done if the team did want to move his contract at some point soon.
  • Thomas Vanek wants to play again in 2019-20 reports Pierre LeBrun of The Athletic (subscription required), and why not? The 35-year old winger recorded 36 points in 64 games for the Detroit Red Wings last season and is still a relatively effective powerplay option. Vanek is coming off a one-year $3MM deal with the Red Wings and now would be eligible for a bonus-laden contract if he can find a team interested. One of the most consistent offensive players of this generation, Vanek has 789 career points in 1,029 games and had recorded at least 41 points in every one of his 13 NHL seasons before 2018-19.

NHL Players Most Worried About Escrow In Upcoming CBA Talks

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The NHL and NHLPA both have an opportunity to opt out of the current Collective Bargaining Agreement at different dates in September, which could begin the clock towards another work stoppage. There are many issues that the players are concerned about when looking at re-negotiating a new CBA, but according to the Associated Press’ Stephen Whyno, the players biggest bargaining issue is some of their money being taken away from them and being placed in escrow.

Under terms of the CBA, the owners and the players divide hockey-related revenue 50/50, but if player salaries exceed that split, then a certain percentage is placed into escrow and the league gets some of that money to keep the revenue even. However, Whyno reports that the players have lost almost 10 percent of their salary to escrow over the past seven years and the players would like to see that change. In fact, the Associated Press surveyed 25 of 31 player representatives, who said that escrow is the biggest worry among players. Chicago Blackhawks representative Jonathan Toews, when asked the two biggest issues in labor talks, said “A. escrow and B. escrow.”

There are a number of other secondary issues the players would like to tackle in negotiations, including Olympic participation, what the definition of hockey-related revenue is, post-career health care, and the concern that young players are squeezing out older players due to cap constraints. However, the loss of salary concerns players the most, according to NHLPA Executive Director Donald Fehr:

Obviously it’s an irritant to players and from time to time it can be a big one. But the question is how you do it. I mean, you can fix escrow by cutting salaries. I don’t think players are interested in doing that. So it has to become something that you address in a manner which makes sense for the players and addresses their concerns.

Fehr added that escrow has been discussed with NHL Deputy Commissioner Bill Daly and more talks are expected, but there is no easy way to fix the problem without making major changes to the sports’ economics.

 

Snapshots: CBA, Johansson, Canucks

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In September, both the NHL and NHLPA hold opt out clauses for the current Collective Bargaining Agreement, which could eventually lead to another work stoppage in 2020. A stoppage would be a nightmare for fans, but apparently is also not what either side is hoping for this time around. John Shannon of Sportsnet was on 630 CHED in Edmonton today discussing the upcoming negotiations, and told host Bob Stauffer that he is confident a deal will get done:

There will be no work stoppage. There will be no strike. There will be no lockout. Both sides have done too well with this last CBA. What we’re talking about now is tweaks, we’re talking about improving the plight of both sides—and I’m being a little facetious when I say “plight.” This is one where the owners would be thrilled to continue to have this CBA, but they realize that in order to get some harmony with the players they’re going to have to give up a little bit, and in turn the players are going to have to give up something.

Shannon goes on to explain that there will be no compliance buyouts in the next agreement, given that there will be no work stoppage this time. He also suggests the length of contracts may be limited even further, perhaps down to even a five-year cap. While none of this is certain at this point, we’ve been hearing for months that there has been good progress made towards a new agreement.

  • Marcus Johansson has rebuilt his free agent value according to a new piece by Pierre LeBrun of The Athletic (subscription required) which examines the potential market for the Boston Bruins trade deadline addition. LeBrun notes that the Bruins have “begun to discuss the merits of bringing him back” and speaks to both Washington Capitals forward Nicklas Backstrom and New Jersey Devils GM Ray Shero, who both explain that they love the person as much as the player. Johansson has played just 87 regular season games over the last two seasons thanks to injury, but has been a real contributor to the Bruins playoff success and is set to hit the open market at just 28 years old.
  • The Vancouver Canucks have been rumored to be in the market for a defenseman this offseason, and now Rick Dhaliwal of Sportsnet tweets out a few potential options. The reporter has heard that the team will go after Jake Gardiner or Tyler Myers, obviously depending on what happens with the two over the next month. Gardiner and Myers are two of the top options available on the free agent market this season, but provide different skill sets. Myers is a huge right-handed blue liner who recorded his best offensive season—48 points—a decade ago and hasn’t come close since, while Gardiner is just one year removed from a 52 point season from the left side.

Snapshots: NHL Olympic Participation, Pesce, Fleury, Brossoit

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The IIHF held its annual press conference shortly before the semifinals of the 2019 World Championships and the most interesting question asked of IIHF President Rene Fasel was about NHL participation at the 2022 Olympic Games in Beijing, China. Fasel said that much of that will depend on the NHL’s upcoming CBA negotiations, which is expected to expire in 2021-22 season, although either the NHL or the NHLPA can choose to opt out in September of this year.

“I had a short discussion with [NHLPA Executive Director] Don Fehr yesterday,” said Fasel. “It is important for the game of ice hockey, 100 per cent. We should show our product at the highest level. I’m happy that 119 NHL players are here (at the World Championships). And they don’t come for the money, they come to represent their countries and end the season in a good atmosphere.”

Fasel said that he would like to get confirmation of NHL participation as soon as possible, but has not set a deadline.

  • Now that the Carolina Hurricanes season is over, Sportsnet’s Elliotte Friedman on his 31 Thoughts column reports that one player who was unhappy and wanted a trade was defenseman Brett Pesce. The 24-year-old blueliner was unhappy earlier in the season when he was seventh on the team in ice-time, playing 1:31 minutes less than his 2017-18 totals. However, his ice time increased after New Year’s Day as he averaged 21:20, which was third on the team only behind Jaccob Slavin and Justin Faulk. His playoff numbers were even higher, which has appeased Pesce and should end any trade talk. Friedman adds that the team will most likely trade defenseman Haydn Fleury instead this summer as he is no longer waiver-eligible and the team would almost guaranteed lose him if he couldn’t win a roster spot.
  • The Winnipeg Jets locked up their backup goaltender, restricted free agent Laurent Brossoit, to a one-year, $1.225MM contract earlier today. After struggling in an earlier stint in his career in Edmonton, the goaltender said that signing with the Jets was a priority due to his friendship with fellow goaltender Connor Hellebuyck. “There’s only one other guy that you can relate to on a full level,” Brossoit said (via Jets’ TV host Jamie Thomas). “For it to be with a friend, same age, similar interests and we get along very well. Just makes a season that much more enjoyable.”

2019 Buyout Window To Open June 15th

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While St. Louis’ 2-1 win over San Jose on Friday night to tie the Western Conference Final was significant in itself, it also played a role in locking in a key day on the offseason calendar.  The schedule for the Stanley Cup Final has been set which means the buyout window is now locked in as well.  The window opens up on the later of June 15th or 48 hours after the conclusion of the Stanley Cup Final.  The latter can end no later than June 14th which means that teams will have to wait until the 15th to begin the process of buying out players.

As a refresher on the rules, players must pass through unconditional waivers in order to be bought out unless they have a no-move clause.  In those instances, the player can simply block the waiver placement and accept the buyout.  Injured players cannot be bought out.  The standard cost to buy a player out is paying two-thirds of his remaining salary (excluding signing bonuses which are 100% payable) over two times the remaining term on the contract.  That applies for anyone 26 and over.  If a team wants to buy out someone younger than that (a rarer occurrence), the cost drops to one-third of the remaining salary.

With several teams facing difficult salary cap situations for next season, it’s likely we’ll see some activity on this front before the window closes on June 30th.  Teams can acquire and then immediately buy out a player as Colorado and Montreal did last summer with Brooks Orpik and Steve Mason respectively.  It wouldn’t be surprising if there are more moves like that this offseason as teams with extra payroll room look to leverage their cap space and buy out a player while taking on additional assets from other teams.

Pacific Notes: Kesler, Eaves, Ruggiero, Schueneman, Brassard

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The Anaheim Ducks have struggled with injuries all season and it doesn’t sound like the odds are good for two of their veteran forwards to return this season. GM and interim head coach Bob Murray issued a statement today offering an update on the status of both Ryan Kesler and Patrick Eaves and did so without much optimism. Kesler has missed the Ducks’ past seven games with a hip injury and will meet with team doctors soon to evaluate his recovery. Murray states that Kesler, 34, needs to consider his long-term overall health and that discussions have been ongoing between the team, player, and agent about the best course of action. Murray’s best guess is that “I doubt strongly you’ll see him again this year.” As for Eaves, also 34, the prognosis is similar. Eaves continues to struggle with the effects of a condition similar to Guillain-Barre Syndrome, which cost him all but two games last year and seven games this year. Murray revealed that Eaves has “has a setback” and is “struggling”. He states that Eaves’ focus is simply getting back to a normal life before focusing on a return to hockey. Eaves was hardly expected to return to the Anaheim lineup this season, but Murray’s comments all but assure that his year is over.

  • Rather than sign 2015 sixth-round pick Steven Ruggiero to an entry-level contract, the Ducks have opted to sign him to an amateur tryout offer with the AHL’s San Diego Gulls. Ruggiero struggled to make much of an impact at the college level in two years with Providence College and one year at Lake Superior State University before finally enjoying a strong senior season with the Lakers. A U.S. National Team Develop Program product, Ruggiero has ability, but has not shown consistent offense for much of his hockey career. The 6’3″, 216-lb. defender plays a heavy game and could potentially be a a good stay-at-home option at the next level, but the Ducks will first take a look to see how he plays in the AHL down the stretch. A strong performance will likely lead to an ELC, while a disappointing debut will likely lead to Ruggiero becoming a free agent later this summer.
  • The AHL’s Stockton Heat, the affiliate of the Calgary Flames, have signed Western Michigan University captain Corey Schueneman to a contract for the 2019-20 season. The two-way defenseman will join the team on an amateur tryout for the rest of the season in the meantime. Schueneman, a standout in the USHL prior to his college years, has always been a capable contributor on the blue line but can also hold his own defensively. A well-rounded prospect, the Flames will no doubt keep an eye on Schueneman’s development next season.
  • The Vancouver Canucks have gone the opposite way of their divisional rivals today, informing a prospect that he will not be signed. Sportsnet’s Rick Dhaliwal reports that the team has informed OHL defenseman Matt Brassard that they will not offer him an entry-level contract prior to the deadline to do so on June 1st. Per the CBA, a team must tender a contract offer to a junior player within two years after they are drafted or that player may re-enter the NHL Draft. Brassard, a 2017 seventh-round pick, will thus try his hand at another go-round in the draft this June. The Canucks’ decision is somewhat surprising; Brassard has been a point-per-game player for the Niagara Ice Dogs since coming over from the Oshawa Generals earlier in the season. Altogether, he has 56 points in 65 games – his second straight season of 50+ points – to go along with a 6’3″ frame and decent defensive ability. Admittedly, Brassard’s game is not without flaws and he has been sheltered by the immense talent in Niagara this season, but the 20-year-old blue liner still seems like a player worth taking a shot on with an entry-level deal.

Free Agent Profile: Justin Brazeau

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While many observers are caught up in the college free agent market right now, the prize among undrafted free agents hails from the junior ranks. Justin Brazeau, a 21-year-old winger from the OHL’s North Bay Battalion, is ready to be an impact pro player as soon as his season ends, which could be sooner rather than later.

The OHL regular season has ended and the playoffs are set to get underway, beginning on Thursday. Brazeau suited up in all 68 games for the Battalion this season, recording 61 goals and 113 points. The massive output by the North Bay captain was good enough for the league lead in goals and second in scoring behind only top Dallas Stars prospect Jason Robertson. Yet, it wasn’t enough to place the Battalion among the top teams in the league. North Bay finished seventh in the Eastern Conference and face a daunting match-up with Robertson and the Niagara Ice Dogs in the first round.

If Brazeau and the Battalion do indeed make an early exit – a sweep would end the series by the middle of next week – Brazeau could sign his entry-level contract by the end of the month. Of course, as a junior player he could sign an ELC at any time, but at this point Brazeau seems willing to wait until his final year of juniors is officially over. He has likely had conversations with many teams already, but seems poised to look at all options for the next step in his career.

Brazeau should be able to choose freely any team in the NHL he likes for his first contract. The overage forward is more than just numbers; while many before him have dominated the junior level offensively only to flame out at the pro level, those players tend to be smaller in stature and able to skate around their opposition at the junior level. Brazeau is a different type of player entirely. At 6’6″ and 225 lbs., Brazeau is a bona fide power forward. He has great skill and offensive instincts, but can hold his own defensively with great size and strength. In fact, maybe the only weakness that could prevent him from continuing to be a contributor in the NHL is his skating. If he can improve upon his ability to get back and forth, Brazeau can be dangerous in both ends.

Potential Suitors

The short answer is that all 31 teams have likely checked in on Brazeau. A junior player of both this size and production are few and far in between and all of the NHL is on alert that Brazeau could be a special player. At the cost of an entry-level contract, it would be silly for any team not to take a chance on the big scoring forward.

However, there are some leaders in the pursuit. Of course, the Toronto Maple Leafs are always a top contender. An Ontario native, Brazeau could have the opportunity to play on a top team close to home, while the Leafs are desperate for affordable help as they face an impending cap crunch and could afford to add some more size up front as well. Similarly, Brazeau could choose to play relatively nearby in Ottawa, as the Senators need all the help they can get and Brazeau could immediately take on a major role.

Brazeau also has some history with a pair of NHL teams. The undrafted product did spend time at development camp with both the San Jose Sharks and Columbus Blue Jackets over the past few years and may have maintained relationships with those clubs. Both the Sharks and the Blue Jackets are talented teams on which Brazeau could find immediate success.

However, San Jose and Columbus, as well as Toronto, are deep up front. Brazeau wants to play as soon as possible and may not get that chance this season with one of those three teams. The Boston Bruins and Pittsburgh Penguins are two top contenders who do have flexibility in the top-nine and could be willing to give Brazeau a shot right away. The New York Rangers aren’t at the same competitive level as those teams, but are shockingly thin at right wing and Brazeau could hypothetically play

Projected Contract

Brazeau is going to sign an entry-level contract, so there is a limit on both base salary and potential bonuses, both of which he will likely max out. It will also be a three-year term, per the CBA. The key to signing the power forward will instead be who is willing or even able to burn the first year of the contract this season. Brazeau has shown that he has the size, skill, and competitive nature to play in the NHL and will want to prove that right away. The potential future star will also want to get another year closer to making real money. If a team can promise Brazeau play time this year, it will go a long way in locking him up. If such a landing spot doesn’t exist, he could opt for a team with which he can play the greatest role next season.

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