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Archives for March 2022

Trade Deadline Primer: Vancouver Canucks

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As the calendar turns to March, the trade deadline is inching closer. Where does each team stand and what moves should they be looking to make?  We continue our look around the league with the Vancouver Canucks.

A lot has changed in Vancouver over the course of this season. The team entered with Jim Benning as the general manager and Travis Green as the head coach. After a dismal run of results to start the season, both were fired from their roles. Veteran head coach Bruce Boudreau was brought in to man the team’s bench, and Jim Rutherford, the architect of the Pittsburgh Penguins’ back-to-back Stanley Cup victories, was brought in to oversee hockey operations. Rutherford then hired Patrik Allvin, the former interim GM of the Penguins after Rutherford’s departure, to be the GM of the Canucks.  Since those changes occurred, the Canucks’ play has drastically improved and they now find themselves playing meaningful hockey as they attempt to gain ground in the Western Conference playoff race. But despite that run of success, there have been many whispers of the Canucks’ new brain trust potentially making big changes at the trade deadline. Only time will tell what course Rutherford and Allvin will chart for the franchise, but at the bare minimum, we know at least something is likely to happen in Vancouver.

Record

29-23-6, 5th in the Pacific

Deadline Status

It’s complicated.

Deadline Cap Space

$2.4MM today, $2.4MM in full-season space, 47/50 contracts used, 0/3 retention slots used, per CapFriendly. 

Upcoming Draft Picks

2022: VAN 1st, WPG 3rd, VAN 4th, VAN 5th, VAN 6th, VAN 7th

2023: VAN 1st, VAN 2nd, VAN 3rd, VAN 4th, VAN 5th, VAN 6th

Trade Chips

The most talked-about trade chip on the Canucks’ roster has to be forward J.T. Miller. Ever since he arrived from the Tampa Bay Lightning for the 2019-20 season, Miller has been an exceptionally productive, extremely valuable player. He had 18 points in the Canucks’ surprising run to Game 7 of the Western Conference Semifinals in 2019-20, and has posted 189 points in 178 games for the Canucks overall. Miller adds a quality defensive game to his dynamic offensive ability, and has been a steal for the Canucks at a cap number of $5.25MM. But Miller only has this season and next remaining on his deal before becoming an unrestricted free agent, which is why many are debating the possibility of the Canucks dealing him in order to maximize the long-term value they can extract over that final season-and-a-half. If they do decide to deal Miller, it will likely take a significant haul to pry him loose. But given his offensive talent, positional versatility, and extra year of team control, Miller is among the NHL’s most talented players to be realistically available at the deadline.

Another talented player who could be traded is Brock Boeser, a 2018 Calder Trophy Finalist. It has been previously reported that Boeser is the “most likely” Canucks player to be traded among the trio of Miller, Boeser, and Conor Garland, and a major part of the reasoning for that is Boeser’s contract situation. Thanks to his $7.5MM base salary, Boeser is due a significant qualifying offer from the Canucks should they wish to retain his rights as a restricted free agent, and his production this season (34 points in 52 games) hasn’t been quite enough to warrant that cost on its own. That production is 53 point pace, and despite posting a very solid 49 points in 56 games last season, it is possible that the new leaders in the Canucks front office don’t view Boeser as the same kind of franchise cornerstone many believe him to be. Given his scoring pedigree and youth (he only just turned 25 years old) it’s possible that Boeser could be part of a significant trade for the Canucks, and could net them the high-end young defenseman they reportedly covet. Trading Boeser would certainly be a polarizing move for a new front office to pursue as it makes its first mark on the team, but if Rutherford and Allvin believe it’s the right thing for the team to pursue then it’s most definitely going to be something they legitimately consider.

Pivoting from the star players, one lower-importance trade chip the Canucks could offer is forward Tyler Motte. Motte is a pending unrestricted free agent with a $1.225MM cap hit, and at 27 years old could be an in-demand bottom-six rental player. Motte has seven goals and 14 points in 43 games this season and has a career-high of 16 points, which he scored in 74 games in 2018-19. But despite that pedestrian production, Motte has been able to find his place as an NHL regular, providing energy, versatility, and sporadic scoring touch to the Canucks’ lineup. It’s unclear if Motte is in the team’s long-term plans, and if the Canucks decide that winning this season isn’t an absolute priority, they could receive offers for Motte strong enough to make him worth trading.

Others to watch for: D Luke Schenn, F Conor Garland, F Nils Hoglander

Team Needs

1) Cap Flexibility

This might seem like an odd need for a team currently in the middle of a playoff race, but take one look at the Canucks’ cap sheet and the issue will be apparent. The Canucks have a lot of talented players. It is incredibly difficult to win in the NHL without a top center, top goalie, and top defenseman, and the Canucks have top players at each of those positions who are 26 years old or younger. But as a whole the Canucks’ team is flawed, and the roster boasts many players who aren’t bad on their own but a touch too expensive for what they provide. Take Jason Dickinson, for example. The Canucks gave up a third-round pick this past offseason to acquire him, and he currently has six points in 49 games. He’s a solid defensive center and natural centers are hard to come by at the NHL level, but for $2.65MM through 2023-2024, the Canucks need a bit more than six points from him. So while subtracting players on marginally overpaid contracts could make the Canucks a bit worse in the short-term, if Rutherford and Allvin want to shape this team into a true contender they need to clean up the cap situation from where it is now. A contender needs to be able to maximize every dollar the cap allows them to spend, and right now the wasted dollars on the Canucks’ books are hurting their ability to build the best team they possibly can.

2) A Blue-Chip Young Defenseman

Much has been reported about the Canucks’ desire to acquire a high-end young defenseman, and it’s easy to see why. Young defensemen are among the most coveted assets in the NHL and quality ones are exceptionally difficult to come by. The Canucks already have a star in Hughes, but the rest of their defense is staffed by older, pricier veterans like Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Tyler Myers, Travis Hamonic, and (when healthy) Tucker Poolman. The Canucks could use another young defenseman to build their defense around, perhaps one that offers more of a two-way game than the offensively-minded Hughes, and it looks like the Canucks’ trade interests are trending in that direction.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images

Snapshots: Johnsson, Fleury, Vejmelka

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With the salary cap set to stay flat for the near future, the battle for most NHL clubs is being able to fit their payrolls under that cap’s $81.5MM upper limit. For the Arizona Coyotes, though, the upcoming battle seems to be managing to ice a roster above the NHL’s salary floor. Per CapFriendly, the Coyotes’ projected cap hit for the 2022 season currently stands at only $37.9MM, and the team’s only major pending free agents are Lawson Crouse and Phil Kessel, two players who very well could be traded before this season’s trade deadline. Essentially, the Coyotes are going to need to add some significant salaries to their cap sheet to get above the cap floor, which currently sits at just over $60MM.

The Coyotes’ need to add salary to reach the cap floor is made more complicated by the team’s arena situation and the finances involved with it. The team is already not known as a financial powerhouse and has historically struggled with inconsistent ownership. The team recently agreed to a deal to play in Arizona State University’s new multi-purpose arena project, settling there on an “indefinite” basis until the team can secure a new long-term home. With a home arena capacity set to be under 5,000, and the team already receiving the maximum amount of support from the league’s revenue-sharing system, it stands to reason that budgets could be tight for the Coyotes moving forward. This means that their effort to get above the salary cap floor for next season could be more complicated than simply doling out a few big contracts. The team may be looking to get a bit more creative, and to take advantage of how the NHL calculates salary cap hits.

The NHL calculates a player’s cap hit through the average annual value of the contract. So if a player signs a 2-year contract worth a total of $10MM, the yearly cap hit is going to be $5MM, regardless of how the individual years’ salaries to be paid out are structured. This means that there are players on teams’ rosters with higher cap hits than actual dollars due to be paid to them for that season, and it seems as though the Coyotes could target those players to be able to get above the cap floor without needing to pay the full $60MM or so that the cap floor is set at.

One of those players with a cap number exceeding actual cash owed is Devils winger Andreas Johnsson. Johnsson, 27, is set to have a base salary of only $750k next season. His signing bonus is set at $1.75MM, but his cap hit is going to be $3.4MM. This makes Johnsson an ideal candidate for them, and TSN’s Darren Dreger links Johnsson with the Coyotes for this exact purpose. Johnsson could be a fit with the Coyotes for not only all the financial reasons previously mentioned but also for his play on the ice. Johnsson has 11 goals and 28 points this season, and his 28 points would make him the fourth-highest scorer on the Coyotes. He is an accomplished offensive player at lower levels who has flashed talent at the NHL level, and has scored 20 goals before. The Coyotes went all-in on mining value from unconventional sources when building their roster this season, as evidenced by the out-of-nowhere success of Travis Boyd. Acquiring Johnsson, as Dreger reported they could, would represent a continuation of that philosophy for GM Bill Armstrong.

  • In more news about the Coyotes coming from TSN’s Insider Trading panel, TSN’s Chris Johnston reports that the Coyotes are “going to have to look” at potential trades for goaltender Karel Vejmelka if the team is unable to reach a deal with him on an extension. Vejmelka is one year away from being an unrestricted free agent, and although the Coyotes, per Johnston, really like Vejmelka and are engaged in trying to get him signed to an extension, their organizational mandate to accumulate as much long-term value as possible could mean that Vejmelka gets dealt to a goaltending-needy team. On a Coyotes team that has struggled all season, Vejmelka has been occasionally brilliant and posted decent overall numbers, with a 3.38 goals-against average and a .904 save percentage. Again, the Coyotes team Vejmelka plays behind has been among the league’s worst this season, so while these numbers aren’t impressive on their own they are more impressive with proper context. From what Johnston is reporting, it seems as though the Coyotes genuinely do want to keep Vejmelka as a first priority, but the realities facing the team mean they could be forced to deal him.
  • Pierre LeBrun of TSN has reported that the Toronto Maple Leafs “have spoken” with the Chicago Blackhawks about the 2020-21 Vezina Trophy-winning goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury. Toronto’s goaltending has faltered in recent weeks, with starter Jack Campbell struggling to find his game and backup Petr Mrazek enduring season-long issues. Maple Leafs GM Kyle Dubas has repeatedly reiterated his faith in the team’s goaltending tandem, but this reported “due diligence” conversation between the two clubs is an indication that perhaps the goaltending situation in Toronto is not as settled as it may seem. LeBrun does note that Toronto is unlikely to be Fleury’s ideal trade destination if he elects to be moved. But regardless of Fleury’s specific situation, this reported contact between the Maple Leafs and Blackhawks is an indication that the Maple Leafs are potentially searching for upgrades in net, and if they end up doing so their pursuit could drastically change the trade market, as the pool of available goaltenders is generally believed to be thin.

Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images

2022 NHL Draft Confirmed For Montreal

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The city of Montreal was set to host the 2020 NHL Entry Draft, but those plans were scuttled when the world was turned upside-down by the COVID-19 pandemic. Continued pandemic restrictions meant that the city was unable to hold the draft in 2021 as well, but things finally seemed to change when fans returned to the stands at NHL arenas and the city was awarded the 2022 NHL draft. But as the Canadiens were once more forced to play games behind closed doors this season, the possibility of the draft being moved out of Montreal once again became a very realistic thought. In his annual meeting with the media at the NHL All-Star Weekend, Commissioner Gary Bettman stated that the NHL “would consider” moving the draft out of Montreal if the pandemic restrictions were still in place.

This was a disheartening development for many in the city who were eager to see Montreal host its 27th NHL Draft, but it seems that those fears can now be laid to rest. According to Chris Johnston of TSN, speaking on TSN’s Insider Trading program,  the threat of the draft being moved out of Montreal again is “totally gone.” Johnston reports that the expectation is for the draft to be held as it was pre-pandemic, meaning with representatives from every NHL club on the draft floor and the hosting arena featuring a full-capacity crowd. NHL officials will “be heading to Montreal” next week to finalize all the details, but the bottom line is that it looks as if the vision of a draft in Montreal will finally be realized after a significant wait.

For Montreal as a market, this announcement can have particular significance because of the state of the Canadiens’ season. Despite their resurgence under coach Martin St. Louis, the team is still last in the NHL with 37 points. Should they stay in that place in the standings, they will have the highest odds of winning the #1 overall pick in the 2022 draft, and be guaranteed to be picking inside the top-3. For a hockey-mad market like Montreal, the Canadiens potentially being able to select a future franchise cornerstone like Shane Wright at a draft hosted inside the Bell Center is an exciting prospect and a nice consolation prize for a fanbase that has been through a largely miserable season.

Update On Kris Letang

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The Pittsburgh Penguins have been possibly the most successful team of the salary cap era. Their core of Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin, and Kris Letang has brought the team three Stanley Cups and has kept them competitive for an entire generation of hockey. But as that core continues to age deeper into their thirties, there are more and more questions about how much longer the three can remain together as Penguins. Recently, there has been a focus on Letang specifically and his future with the team, given that he is a pending unrestricted free agent. According to Frank Seravalli of Daily Faceoff, Letang’s future in Pittsburgh is unclear.

Seravalli reports that there are “big gaps” between the team and the player, with the major sticking point being the term on Letang’s next contract. According to Seravalli’s sources, Letang’s representation is seeking a five-year deal with an average annual value beginning at $7MM, and the Penguins are “simply not willing” to even consider Letang on an extension that takes him to the point where he is nearing 40 years old. Letang is currently 34 and will be 35 by the time next season starts, meaning any extension for him carries a significant risk of becoming an albatross, despite how good Letang still is at the NHL level. For a Penguins team that is navigating which direction to go as a franchise long-term, it is understandable for their relatively new management team of Brian Burke and Ron Hextall to be wary of signing Letang to such a massive extension.

The Penguins expect to compete for a Stanley Cup this season, and that’s a very reasonable expectation. Coach Mike Sullivan has been brilliant, leading the squad to a safe position near the top of the Metropolitan Division standings. Letang has been a crucial part of this team’s success, as he typically has been. He has 49 points in 54 games, third on the team behind Crosby and Jake Guentzel, and those 49 points rank just outside the top-5 in defensive scoring league-wide. Letang is also averaging nearly 26 minutes of ice time this season and is the Penguins’ most important defenseman by a mile. Replacing Letang would be extremely difficult for the Penguins to do, and if they have any intentions of competing for a Stanley Cup for the rest of  Crosby’s contract (expires after 2024-2025) they will need to have a defenseman like Letang. So those on-ice factors combined with Letang’s importance to the Pittsburgh hockey market in general (he is nearing his 1000th NHL game and has spent his entire career with the Penguins) make his contract situation an incredibly tricky one for Burke and Hextall to navigate. But if Seravalli’s report is any indication, some major changes could be coming to a Penguins’ core that has been the heart of the franchise for a generation of fans.

The MLB Lockout Is Over

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The MLB lockout is finally over! That means we’re about to experience an unprecedented free agent and trade frenzy leading up to Opening Day on April 7. Head on over to MLB Trade Rumors (@mlbtraderumors on Twitter) to keep up with all of the action!

There are still many big-name free agents who will have to sign new contracts soon, from Carlos Correa to Freddie Freeman to Kris Bryant and many more.

The trade market will be active too! Matt Olson of the A’s is the top name expected to be on the move.  The A’s, Reds, and Mets will likely be in the thick of it.

Check out MLB Trade Rumors for all of the latest hot stove action! Just before the lockout began, it was one of the wildest flurries of offseason activity in recent memory, and the post-lockout frenzy might take it up a notch! Follow the action on Facebook and Twitter.

Dallas Stars Sign Remi Poirier

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The Dallas Stars have added a little more goaltending depth to the system, signing Remi Poirier to a three-year, entry-level contract. The young goaltender was a sixth-round pick of the team in 2020 and currently plays for the Gatineau Olympiques of the QMJHL, where he will remain for the rest of the season.

It’s not always so easy to stock a prospect pipeline with goaltending talent, but the Stars appear to be set for the immediate future. Jake Oettinger is already showing he’s ready for the starting gig at age-23, Adam Scheel is making the transition from the college ranks nicely, and now Poirier–selected 185th overall–is a front-runner for the QMJHL goaltender of the year award.

In 29 appearances, Poirier leads all qualified netminders with a .919 save percentage and 2.24 goals-against-average while sitting third in wins with 17. The 6’2″ goaltender has been on a steady development path since entering the CHL in 2018, posting better and better numbers each season. If that kind of progression can continue, he could very well be challenging for the starting role with the Texas Stars as soon as next season.

That’s when his contract will kick in, meaning he’s now signed through 2024-25 on his entry-level deal.

Edmonton Oilers Extend Markus Niemelainen

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The Edmonton Oilers have reached a two-year contract extension with Markus Niemelainen, one which will keep him signed and on an average annual value of just $762K. The first year of the extension, 2022-23, is a two-way contract, while 2023-24 will be a one-way deal.

Niemelainen, 23, has split this season between the Oilers and the Bakersfield Condors of the AHL, providing some valuable size and depth whenever Edmonton is dealing with injuries. The 6’6″ defenseman is averaging just over 13 minutes in those NHL appearances–and even less in his most recent few–but has flashed a defensive ability that isn’t all that common among the rest of the team’s young options. He’s actually fourth on the team in hits despite playing in just a third of the games, and his length suggests he could have a substantial role on the penalty kill down the road.

This deal represents a bet from the Oilers that he can provide some more NHL minutes over the next couple of seasons and comes with basically no risk. The cap hit means he’s earning league-minimum in both years (and should actually be $762.5K for this reason) so even if he’s just an extra defenseman on the roster, it’s worth it. Notably though, Niemelainen still won’t be eligible for waivers next season, meaning he can continue to bounce up and down without worry of claim. That is of course unless he establishes himself as a regular at some point before 2023-24 and manages to get into 43 more games.

Either way, this is a little bit of work done for general manager Ken Holland and his staff ahead of the trade deadline, when things will get really interesting in Edmonton.

Alexandre Texier Granted Leave Of Absence

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The nightmare season for Alexandre Texier continues. The young forward has been granted an indefinite leave of absence from the Columbus Blue Jackets for personal reasons. Blue Jackets general manager Jarmo Kekalainen explained:

Recently, Tex has experienced personal losses of people very close to him and our priority right now is to support him in every way possible. We are going to give him the time he needs and look forward to welcoming him back to the Blue Jackets family when he is ready.

Texier, 22, hasn’t played since January because of a fractured finger, which stopped a successful season in its tracks. He had 11 goals 20 points in 36 games before the injury took him out of the lineup, with still no clear date for his return. Now, with this personal loss, it’s completely unclear when Texier will hit the ice again for the Blue Jackets.

The young French forward has scored 22 goals and 39 points in his 123-game NHL career to this point, after bursting onto the scene as a teenager in 2019. Signed through 2022-23 at a $1.525MM cap hit, he has also been included in some trade speculation, though the team has never seemed eager to move him. Something like this should put all of that speculation on pause, as the Blue Jackets and the rest of hockey support Texier while he goes through this period.

Corey Andonovski Signs With Pittsburgh Penguins

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March 10: Dreger reports that Andonovski has chosen the Pittsburgh Penguins for his NHL home. The Penguins are notorious for bringing players out of the college ranks and giving them a real opportunity at the NHL level. The team has officially announced the two-year contract, noting that it will begin in the 2022-23 season. He’ll join the Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins on an amateur tryout for the time being.

March 7: As the NCAA season comes to a close for many programs, NHL teams will be desperately trying to sell their organization as the best place for an undrafted talent to take the next step. That’s what is happening in the case of Corey Andonovski, who according to Darren Dreger of TSN “continues to mull over multiple NHL offers” and could make a decision this week.

Andonovski, 22, just finished his third season (and fourth year) at Princeton, scoring 22 points in 31 games. Technically he could go back as he had an extra year of eligibility due to the lost 2020-21 season–when Ivy League schools did not participate in hockey due to COVID restrictions–but that appears not to be the case. Princeton was ousted from the ECAC first round by Union over the weekend, with Andonovski scoring the lone goal for the Tigers in the deciding game.

Since the beginning of this month, NHL teams have been able to sign undrafted prospects to entry-level contracts that start in 2022-23, though that may not necessarily be the case here. Andonovski would be signing a two-year deal either way, meaning if a team really wants to win the battle for his services, they could offer him a contract that starts in 2021-22 instead, get him directly into professional hockey and closer to restricted free agency.

Signing his first NHL contract will be a big step for the former BCHL forward, but there’s potentially another big moment coming up soon as well. On March 16, the Hobey Baker Top-Ten Finalists will be announced, and Andonovski was one of the original nominees. His is a long shot, given how many other outstanding college players there are around the country, but even being nominated is obviously a nice honor in his final season with Princeton.

Ryan Getzlaf, Jakob Silfverberg Moved To Injured Reserve

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With the Anaheim Ducks scuffling on the ice, falling in the standings, and heading toward a trade deadline that could determine the direction of the franchise for years to come, there’s a lot to consider when looking at any transaction. Today, the club moved captain Ryan Getzlaf and forward Jakob Silfverberg to injured reserve, recalling Danny O’Regan, Vinni Lettieri, and Buddy Robinson in their place.

It’s not that a move like this is akin to throwing in the towel–if players get injured there’s not really another option–but losing Getzlaf and Silfverberg does certainly raise some questions about the Ducks’ ability to compete in the Pacific Division race. While he’s not the dominating two-way presence he was earlier in his career, Getzlaf is still an effective player for Anaheim with 31 points in 47 games. Never a huge goal scorer, he has only found the back of the net three times, but there’s a reason why he still plays nearly 19 minutes a night and takes more faceoffs than anyone else in the lineup.

Silfverberg meanwhile has also seen his goal-scoring numbers plummet in recent years. After posting at least 17 in five consecutive seasons, he had just eight last year and just five through 53 games this season. While he still has 21 points and is a positive defensive player, he’s not the dynamic offensive threat he once was.

Still, losing both puts a strain on the depth of the Ducks, especially if they were to trade names like Rickard Rakell and Nicolas Deslauriers at the deadline. The team is already using many of their top prospects in the lineup, though this would likely be good news for someone like Max Comtois, who has found himself on the outside looking in despite leading the Ducks in scoring last season.

At any rate, the team will have to make do for the next little while without the services of two veteran forwards. It is not clear how long either will be out, though they must serve seven days on injured reserve from their last game played. For Getzlaf, that’s March 4 after missing the last couple, but Silfverberg played (and scored) on Tuesday.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images

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