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Dallas And Pittsburgh Ruled Out As Hub City Candidates

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We still don’t know which two cities will be serving as the hub hosts for the NHL’s planned return to action but we now know two more that won’t be.  After Columbus and Minnesota were reported as out on Tuesday, the Penguins announced that they were no longer in the mix while Pierre LeBrun of TSN and The Athletic adds (Twitter link) that Dallas has been informed that they are out as well.

That means that the hub city field is down to six teams.  In the East, Toronto is the last one standing while out West, Chicago, Edmonton, Los Angeles, Vancouver, and Vegas are still contenders.

The league’s preference is to have host teams play out of the opposite hub (in other words, the East plays in a Western city and vice versa) but that shouldn’t be construed as a sign that Toronto should be viewed as a contender.  If Los Angeles was to get it, they’d be able to host the West without any home ice ’advantage’ as the Kings aren’t among the 24 teams taking part.  The league has also said they have no concerns about both cities being outside of the Eastern time zone.

There is no firm timetable as to when the host cities will be announced.  However, with health and safety protocols still needing to be worked out, an announcement should be in the near future to allow the NHL and NHLPA to work out the final details while being able to hammer out city-specific arrangements.

Metropolitan Notes: Bjugstad, Hischier, Capitals

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Although the Penguins announced last month that Nick Bjugstad is out for the rest of the playoffs, that may not be the case.  GM Jim Rutherford told Josh Yohe of The Athletic (subscription required) that should Pittsburgh make a deep run into the postseason, there is a chance that the center could be available near the end.  However, it’s fair to question as to whether or not the team would want to put him in the lineup if that was to happen.  The oft-injured Bjugstad played in just 13 regular season games this season and struggled offensively with only a single goal and assist.  While he’s a capable player when healthy, asking him to jump into the middle of a late playoff series when he will have missed some much time would be a tough ask.

More from the Metropolitan Division:

  • Devils center Nico Hischier is taking advantage of the pandemic and the fact that New Jersey won’t be returning to play to work through the majority of his mandatory Swiss military obligations, notes NHL.com’s David Satriano. He’s a little more than halfway through his 18-week requirement for this year and then will need to spend three weeks per summer for the next six to seven years to fulfill the rest.  However, if he participates in the World Championships, he’d get up to three weeks of military credit so expect to see him in that tournament on a regular basis in years that the Devils don’t go deep into the playoffs.
  • Capitals blueliner Martin Fehervary and goalie Vitek Vanecek are on their way to Washington in advance of rejoining the team for return workouts, notes J.J. Regan of NBC Sports Washington. While the team hasn’t confirmed that either will be among the ones that will be on their expanded roster, both seem like safe bets to be there.  Fehervary played in six games with the Caps in his rookie season and held his own, averaging 15:59 per night.  Meanwhile, Vanecek split time with Pheonix Copley with their AHL affiliate in Hershey this season and with the expectation of there being no limits to the number of goalies that teams can carry, it’s logical to think he’ll be among their netminders that are recalled.

Carter Hart Changes Agencies

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Heading into an offseason where he will be eligible to sign a contract extension, Flyers goaltender Carter Hart has decided to change his representations.  Long-time reporter John Shannon reports (Twitter link) that the netminder will now be represented by the Wasserman/Orr Hockey Group; he had been previously repped by Allain Roy of RSG Hockey.  PuckPedia clarifies (via Twitter) that Judd Moldaver will be Hart’s new agent.

The 21-year-old rejoined the team yesterday as they continue preparations for the postseason.  He’s coming off a solid sophomore campaign after cutting his GAA from 2.83 in his rookie year down to 2.42 while posting a respectable .914 SV% along with his first career shutout.  Once they get through the round robin games against the other top four teams in the East, it will be Hart’s first foray into the playoffs.

On the surface, this offseason may not be the greatest time to work on a new contract.  The expected flattening of the salary cap does not bode well for anyone looking to cash in with a big-money extension a year before their deal even expires.  With Hart already established as Philadelphia’s starting goalie, he’s not someone that will likely be interested in a bridge contract so while he has new representation in tow, it will likely be a while yet before they start working on his next deal.

IIHF Sets 2020-21 International Calendar For World Championships

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The IIHF announced that it has set its schedule for the 2020-21 season headlined by the Men’s World Championship.  The start date has been delayed about two weeks longer than usual to May 21st and will run through June 6th in Belarus and Latvia.  The later start should help offset any potential delays to the start of seasons both in North America and Europe due to the ongoing pandemic.

The groups for the tournament will be as follows:

Group A: Russia, Sweden, Czech Republic, Switzerland, Slovakia, Denmark, Belarus, Great Britain
Group B: Canada, Finland, USA, Germany, Latvia, Norway, Italy, Kazakhstan

Meanwhile, the Women’s Worlds will take place in Nova Scotia starting April 7th which was slated to host this year’s event before it was cancelled.  Their groups will be:

Group A: USA, Canada, Finland, Russia, Switzerland
Group B: Japan, Czech Republic, Germany, Denmark, Hungary

The tournament that NHL scouts will undoubtedly want to keep their eye on is the Men’s Under-18 Worlds.  It features many of the top draft-eligible prospects as well as providing a final opportunity for some of the lower or mid-tier players to boost their stock heading into the 2021 draft.  It will kick off in mid-April in Michigan with the following groups:

Group A: Sweden, Canada, Belarus, Latvia, Switzerland
Group B: Russia, USA, Czech Republic, Finland, Germany

Today’s announcement from the IIHF pertained to end-of-year tournaments so the World Juniors was not among the ones that were mentioned.  As things stand, they remain scheduled to start on December 26th although things could certainly change between now and then depending on how things play out with the pandemic and if they are able to play the event in front of spectators.

Snapshots: Hub Favorites, Phase 2, Postseason Rules

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Six cities remain in the hunt as potential hub locations for when the NHL returns to play. As things stand right now, Vegas and either Vancouver or Edmonton are the frontrunners, per The Athletic’s Pierre LeBrun. Toronto, Chicago, and Los Angeles remain outside contenders – but they are still very much in the hunt. Of course, Vegas, Vancouver, and Edmonton are all in the Western Conference, meaning one of the Golden Knights, Canucks, or Oilers would play their games at home – should LeBrun’s hunch prove correct. The NHL isn’t overly concerned, per LeBrun, because without fans present, the games would still qualify as technically neutrally located, even though whichever team does stay home would enjoy a certain amount of comfort in their home building. Finding the best, safest fit to house 12 teams at a time is the priority for now, over maintaining a perfect degree of parity. Let’s check in on the other tidbits of news that have eeked out over the last few hours concerning the NHL’s return to play…

  • Phase 2 takes another step forward tomorrow, allowing for up to 12 skaters to share the ice at a time during workouts, tweets Sportsnet’s Chris Johnston. Only six skaters had been allowed at a time up until now. A successful expansion could prove a crucial development given the recent rash of COVID-19 cases popping up across the sports landscape.
  • We also now know – thanks to NHL deputy commissioner Billy Daly – that each of the 24 participating teams will play one or two exhibition games prior to the round-robin and play-in phases of the NHL postseason, per Sam Carchidi of the Philadelphia Inquirer. That’s not a ton of ice time to ready the troops, but with such a small window of viability, it makes sense to limit player exposure prior to any games of consequence.
  • In a more logistical matter, the NHL and Players’ Association have agreed to extend contracts and visas for players whose contracts were going to expire on June 30th, tweets CapFriendly. That’s not to indicate a more comprehensive agreement between the two sides, as will be required before the NHL officially returns to play. The matter of expiring contracts appears to have been agreed upon as a solitary issue.
  • Teams will have 30 players available for July 10 training camps, with playoff rosters trimmed to 28, per Ben Kuzma of Postmedia Sports. For camp and the playoffs, teams will be granted an unlimited number of goalies. Being as only 6 members of each team have been allowed to share the ice at a time through today, the scope of the NHL’s undertaking will clearly require heavy-lifting from logistics and operations departments.

Columbus, Minnesota Out As Potential Hub City

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The Columbus Blue Jackets were informed today that they will not play host to the NHL’s 24-team playoff reboot of the 2019-2020 season, tweets Blue Jackets’ reporter Jeff Svoboda. Minnesota has also been eliminated from consideration, per The Athletic’s Aaron Portzline and Michael Russo (via Twitter).

Columbus had been one of ten cities under consideration to host the remainder of the NHL season. With two arenas to utilize, there was at least some logistical cause for Columbus to merit serious consideration. There was no reason given for their elimination, so it’s hard to know at this time what the thinking was behind the process.

Las Vegas is believed to be a frontrunner for one of the two spots. It’s widely believed that Canada would house the other hub, though where exactly has remained up for debate. If indeed Vegas does take one of the spots, that could be reason enough for Columbus to fall out of the running. It’s been widely assumed that one hub city would be in the United States and one in Canada.

Portzline provides a quote from Blue Jackets GM Jarmo Kekäläinen, who said: “They had a lot of positives about our presentation, but they’ve gone in a different direction. It’s disappointing, but we were also among the last few cities to be considered. You take the positives along with the disappointment and you move on.

There is a decent chance that the final decision on hub cities will be announced this week, and perhaps even as early as today. Presumably, the NHL will not want to make their decision public until the logistics are worked out and finalized. That could still happen today, though that’s not a guarantee.

For now, what we know for certain is that Columbus and Minnesota are out. Per Russo, Vegas, Chicago, and Los Angeles are thought to be frontrunners on the U.S. front, while Edmonton, Toronto, and Vancouver are the likeliest hub cities north of the border.

Chris Thorburn Officially Retires From NHL

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It’s been more than two years since Chris Thorburn played meaningful minutes in an NHL game, but the veteran forward is officially hanging up his skates, per Sean O’Leary of The Score. The NHLPA sent along their congratulations to Thorburn via Twitter.

Thorburn, 37, got to go out in style, winning the Stanley Cup in his second year with the St. Louis Blues in 2019. The Athletic’s Jeremy Rutherford chronicled Thorburn’s final season when he spent most of the year mentoring younger players for the Blues’ AHL affiliate. The longtime enforcer appeared in 50 games for the Blues in 2017-2018 for 7:02 ATOI as a 34-year-old, finishing the year with seven points.

The veteran winger was never an All-Star, topping out usage-wise with 13:48 ATOI during the Thrashers final season in Atlanta (2010-2011). He nonetheless carved out a role as a professional skater for 14 seasons. After Buffalo made him the 50th overall selection of the 2001 entry draft, Thorburn suited up for the Sabres, Penguins, Thrashers/Jets, and Blues, totalling 53 goals and 134 points.

What Detroit Wasn’t The Worst At In 2019-20

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By now, everyone knows that the Detroit Red Wings were a bad team in 2019-20. The team finished last in the NHL with a 17-49-5 record. Their 39 points was 23 points less than the Ottawa Senators in 30th place and a whopping 61 points behind the President’s Trophy-winning Boston Bruins. Their .275 points percentage was historically bad, eighth-worst in the modern era and the very worst if expansions teams are removed.

But just how pervasive was Detroit’s failure this season? The Red Wings finished last in almost every meaningful statistic. The team was the worst at both scoring and preventing goals in 2019-20. Their meager 2.0 goals per game was more than half a goal behind the 30th-ranked Los Angeles Kings. They gave up 3.73 goals per game, nearly two more goals than they scored and .38 GAA behind the Ottawa Senators in 30th. In contrast, .38 more than the Senators’ goals against would be a sub-3.0 GAA and in the top half of the league. Detroit finished last in even strength, power play, and shorthanded goals against. The Red Wings also struggled on the penalty kill, finishing in last place with a 74.3% rating.

Taking an even deeper look, the team was a disaster at creating offense. Their 27.1 shots per game was last in the league, more than two shots behind the Buffalo Sabres in 30th. If the Sabres improved by the same amount, they would be among the top half of the league. Detroit also finished last in takeaways with just 4.33 per game.

The big question is: what wasn’t Detroit the worst at in 2019-20. The Red Wings were by no means successful in the following three key statistics, but they did not finish last:

Power Play

The Red Wings should thank the Ottawa Senators and Anaheim Ducks that they can say their team wasn’t the very worst this year in a major category like power play. The difference is marginal, but Detroit’s 14.9% was .02 higher than the Ducks and .07 higher than the Sens. The Red Wings were also just behind the Chicago Blackhawks in 28th at 15.2%. Success rates start to rise significantly beyond those bottom four all the way to the Edmonton Oilers, who were more than twice as successful with the man advantage as Detroit, Anaheim, and Ottawa.

Unfortunately, when you combine the Red Wing’s low power play success rate with their league-high 13 shorthanded goals against, the team actually had a league-worst 8.8% net power play.

Shots Against

At the end of the day, Detroit had the worst goals against in the league, but they did their part not to leave their goalies out to dry entirely. The team finished 27th in shots against per game with 32.8. The Vancouver Canucks, Ottawa Senators, New York Rangers, and Chicago Blackhawks all finished below the Red Wings, with the Blackhawks bringing up the rear allowing more than two more shots per game. Detroit was actually closer to a top-ten mark in shots against per game that they were Chicago in last.

Giveaways

While bad teams and giveaways seem to go hand-in-hand, and often do, the Red Wings did not cough up the puck the most in the NHL. That honor belongs to the New York Islanders, with the New York Rangers coming in second-to-last. Detroit tied the Montreal Canadiens with 11.23 giveaways per game. This was only marginally better than the Rangers, but nearly two giveaways less than the Islanders’ ugly mark.

Yet, due to their measly 4.33 takeaways per game, Detroit still finished last net turnovers with -6.09 per game. They may not be the worst team in giveaways, but they were hardly winners in the turnover battle.

Face-offs

Finally, a noteworthy statistic that Detroit was not worst or among the worst at this season. The Red Wings’ 49.5% face-off rate was still below average by definition, but it was just short of a middling mark and good enough for 20th in the league. The team was only about 1% better than all but three of the teams below them, but the Red Wings will be happy not to be a part of that bottom group.

The 2019-20 Detroit Red Wings: “Historically bad, but okay at face-offs”.

Expert Consensus: What To Expect In Round One Of The 2020 NHL Draft

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While the actual date of the 2020 NHL Entry Draft is still unknown and at the very least still several months away, there is no new data for teams and draft analysts to gather on the draft class. So while the draft may seem like a long ways off, now is as good a time as any to begin dissecting the possibilities. Many draft experts agree, as several have already done their final dive into this class of prospects and released their final draft rankings. While there are a number of draft experts and services out there, here is a look at the upcoming first round based on the consensus of the most recent rankings from some of the most well-known draft analysts out there: Scott Wheeler and Corey Pronman of The Athletic (subscription required), Craig Button and Bob McKenzie of TSN, Ryan Kennedy of The Hockey News, Steve Kournianos of The Draft Analyst, Chris Peters of ESPN (subscription required), and Sam Cosentino of Sportsnet:

Alexis Lafreniere Will Go No. 1

No surprise, right? Alexis Lafreniere won the battle for the first overall spot a while ago and it is hard to find anyone who still disagrees. All eight experts ranked Lafreniere at No. 1 and few bothered to even argue the merits of the selection. Lafreniere has a chance to be a generational player given his offensive skill and skating ability. Regardless of who wins Friday’s lottery, they will be selecting the Rimouski superstar with the top pick.

Quinton Byfield Will Go No. 2

Of the eight experts, all but one ranked big center Quinton Byfield as the second overall pick. If that isn’t enough, just look at his numbers, including his height and weight, and you’ll get the idea why he is a can’t-miss prospect. Byfield is the type of top-line pivot that every team needs and, like Lafreniere at No. 1, no team will pass him up regardless of their organizational depth. The Sudbury centerman is the total package and his well-roundness alone will win him this spot.

Tim Stutzle Will Probably Go No. 3

Six of eight experts predict that German sensation Tim Stutzle will be taken third overall, with a seventh ranking him second. Stutzle has come on strong this season and shaken off any doubters with his elite speed and creativity. Thrown in his achievement against men in the DEL and against his peers at the World Juniors and you have a player that has shown that he can rise to the occasion once he arrives in the NHL. If the team picking third has a drastic need for defense or has fallen in love with one of the other consensus top-ten forwards, maybe Stutzle slips past third. However, he is right on the line of being too good to pass up like Lafreniere and Byfield.

Jamie Drysdale Will Be The First Defenseman Selected

Jamie Drysdale began the draft cycle as the top-rated defenseman and he will end it that way as well. All eight experts have the Drysdale as their top-ranked defender, anywhere from No. 4 to No. 9. The draft order will very likely determine where exactly Drysdale falls. However, given his ability and an otherwise weak defense class, especially on the right side, it is hard to imagine him falling outside the top five, as there will be teams looking to trade up if those pick-holders are not interested. The slick, pay-making blue liner out or Erie is a special player with the puck on his stick, but his defensive ability is also worthy of a top selection.

Another Goalie Will Go Early

Last year, the Florida Panthers bucked the trend of goaltenders rarely being taken early in the first round when they selected Spencer Knight at No. 13 overall. Watch for the same thing to happen this year and perhaps even earlier, depending on how the draft order plays out. Russian prodigy Yaroslav Askarov is being regarded even higher than Knight and might have a chance to crack the top ten. All eight experts ranked Askarov in the first half of the first round, but six had him at tenth or earlier. Askarov is truly considered an elite goalie prospect, the likes of which have not been seen in some time, and there will very likely be a team early on who simply can’t resist taking a guaranteed future starter.

A Down Year For The Americans

After a historic American draft class in 2019, the U.S. will very much take a back seat in the first round in 2020. Only one American, USNTDP defenseman Jake Sanderson, was a consensus first-round pick among the experts and none of the eight had more than three Americans slotted in the first round. Even among those few picks there was dissent among the experts, but forwards Brendan Brisson and Thomas Bordeleau look like the most likely names to sneak in.

Forward Depth Will Define The Draft Class

If there is one thing that has been a common refrain about the 2020 draft class, it is the wealth of talented forwards available. A strong sign that this is true is the varied opinions among the experts, with some ranking forwards early in the first round that others think might still be available in the third round. Only 15 forwards were consensus first-round picks among the eight experts. Beyond Lafreniere, Byfield, and Stutzle, there are Swedish standouts Lucas Raymond and Alexander Holtz, CHL stars Marco Rossi, Cole Perfetti, Jack Quinn, Connor Zary, Mavrik Bourque, Seth Jarvis, and Dawson Mercer, Finnish phenom Anton Lundell, Russian prize Rodion Amirov, and NCAA wunderkind Dylan Holloway. Yet, there were 22 other forward prospects who received at least one first-round ranking among the eight experts, not to mention another handful who were consensus second-round picks. There will be an uncommon amount of high-end ability available through at least the first two rounds for those NHL teams with needs up front.

Elite Defense Will Be Hard To Come By

Those teams desperate for help on the blue line will not have the same luck as those in need of forwards. Among the eight experts, only Drysdale and Sanderson were consensus first-round picks and both will be gone in the first half of the first round. Just four defenseman were given first-round grades by the majority of experts – Kaiden Guhle, Braden Schneider, Jeremie Poirier, and Justin Barron – and only Guhle received a top-half ranking by more than one expert. Given the depth of forwards and the inclusion of the goaltender Askarov as a definite first-round pick, it would not be a surprise to see as few as four defensemen selected in the first round this year.

Poll: Should NHL Start The Season On Jan. 1 From Now On?

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It’s been talked about quite a bit over the last three weeks that with the NHL expected to start the playoffs in early August (now revealed to be July 30). That means that the Stanley Cup is likely to be awarded in early October, which means that the offseason and draft would occur in mid-October before training camp for the 2020-21 season would begin in December. That would set the NHL to begin its season with the Winter Classic on Jan. 1, 2021.

That might seem strange, but what choice does the league have? However, there is little to no conversation of making the 2020-21 season (or the 2021 season) shorter to return back to the league’s standard schedule. Instead, there has been some chatter in which many have suggested the NHL might be better off permanently starting their season on Jan. 1.

In an article earlier this month, The Athletic’s James Mirtle (subscription required writes there definitely are some advantages to moving their season until January. First and foremost, the NHL has quite a bit of competition in the first half of the season, competing against the NFL, college football as well as the NBA. A January start would avoid quite a bit of that competition, while moving the playoffs into July and August would allow the team to play in the summer, often a slower time of the year for sports with the exception of baseball. On top of that, many teams see an increase in gate attendance after Feb. 1, suggesting it could be financially beneficial to many teams to move the start date.

Of course, there are other questions that could arise as well, meaning ice conditions may not be as good as teams get deeper into the summer, while there are questions whether people would really follow hockey in the deep summer. Players also may not want to change their permanent schedules and play deep into the summer, while many fans would still prefer to keep to their traditional October to June schedule. There is always some middle ground though with others suggesting that moving the season up to a November start date might make some sense as well.

So, the question is, should the NHL begin the season on Jan. 1 permanently each season?

Pro Hockey app users, click here to vote.

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